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yx9881 · 2020年02月29日

问一道题:NO.PZ2020012201000004

问题如下:

Noah Sota uses the CAPM to set CME. He estimates that one asset class has a beta of 0.8 in economic expansions and 1.2 in recessions. The expected return on the market is 12% in an expansion and 4% in a recession. The Rf is constant at 2%. Expansion and recession are equally likely.

Calculate the unconditional expected return and the conditional expectedreturns on the asset are

选项:

A.

The conditional expected returns on the asset are 10% in an expansion,and 4.4% in a recession.

B.

The conditional expected returns on the asset are 10% in an recession,and 4.4% in a expansion.

C.

The unconditional expected return is 9.2%

解释:

A is correct

The conditional expected returns on the asset are 10% = 2% + 0.8 × (12% – 2%) in an expansion and 4.4% = 2% + 1.2 × (4% – 2%) in a recession.所以A正确,B不正确。

The unconditional expected return is 7.2% = [(0.5 × 10%) + (0.5 × 4.4%)].所以C选项不正确。

没有印象基础班, 哪个章节讲到这个知识点了?

1 个答案

源_品职助教 · 2020年03月02日

嗨,从没放弃的小努力你好:


6. The Failure to Account for Conditioning Information

是这个知识点,讲义P18


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