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我叫仙人涨 · 2020年02月26日

问一道题:NO.PZ201702190100000203

* 问题详情,请 查看题干

问题如下:

3.The scenario analysis that Hamilton prepares for the committee is most likely a:

选项:

A.

stress test.

B.

historical scenario.

C.

hypothetical scenario.

解释:

C is correct.

A hypothetical scenario analysis allows the risk manager to estimate the likely effect of the scenario on a range of portfolio risk factors. A sovereign ratings downgrade would affect Hiram’s India equity and corporate bond exposures as well as the government bond exposure. In addition, the assumptions used in constructing the scenario analysis can specifically address the effect of a need to sell large position sizes under decreased liquidity conditions resulting from a ratings downgrade. VaR alone does not accurately reflect the risk of large position sizes, which may be difficult to trade.

考点:scenario analysis

解析:国债评级下调是一件还没有发生的事件,所以属于hypothetical scenario analysis。

stress test是将所有因素调成最差情况来看影响的严重程度,而这里国债评级下调只是一个影响因素,这个影响因素也并不是极端情况,所以不属于压力测试。

请问stress test 是一个统称, 包括 scenario test and sensitivity test是么?


请问下hypothetical test 在讲义上面没写,也算是一个test是么? 是stress test 下面的种类,还是独立于stress test的一种?




1 个答案

星星_品职助教 · 2020年02月27日

同学你好,

stress test是scenario analysis的一种情况,hypothetical scenario是情景测试里假设的情景,这两个在课上都讲过。