问题如下:
Relative to the Canadian government bond index, the portfolio that Hirji proposes for the Malaysian client will most likely:
选项:
A.underperform.
B.remain stable.
C.outperform.
解释:
C is correct.
Hirji proposes an extreme bullet portfolio focusing on the middle of the yield curve. If the forecast is correct and the yield curve loses curvature, the rates at either end of the curve will rise or the intermediate yields will drop. As a result, bonds at the ends of the yield curve will lose value or the intermediate bonds will increase in value. In either case, the bullet portfolio will outperform relative to a more diverse maturity index portfolio like the benchmark.
老师您好,这道题我的解题思路是这样的,麻烦指导一下,谢谢。
未来yield curve是less curvature的,说明bullet outperform。本题主人公提出的是5年期和7年期的债券组合,那么相对于100% 7年期的债券来说,主人公提出的债券组合duration更小,因此,对未来价格的变化的敏感程度弱于100% 7年期的债券。因此,未来中期利率下降时,5年期和7年期的债券组合underperforman。请问这么思考错在了什么地方,为什么与答案不一致?