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月乔DD · 2020年02月11日

问一道题:NO.PZ201512181000007107

* 问题详情,请 查看题干

问题如下:

When measuring the portfolio impact of the stress test suggested by McKee, which of the following is most likely to produce an accurate result?

选项:

A.

Marginal VaR

B.

Full revaluation of securities

C.

The use of sensitivity risk measures

解释:

B is correct. McKee suggests running a stress test using a historical scenario specific to emerging markets that includes an extreme change in credit spreads. Stress tests, which apply extreme negative stress to a particular portfolio exposure, are closely related to scenario risk measures. A scenario risk measure estimates the portfolio return that would result from a hypothetical change in markets (hypothetical scenario) or a repeat of a historical event (historical scenario). When the historical simulation fully revalues securities under rate and price changes that occurred during the scenario period, the results should be highly accurate.

A is incorrect because marginal VaR measures the change in portfolio VaR given a very small change in a portfolio position (e.g., change in VaR for a $1 or 1% change in the position). Therefore, marginal VaR would not allow McKee to estimate how much the value of the option-embedded bonds would change under an extreme change in credit spreads.

C is incorrect because sensitivity risk measures use sensitivity exposure measures, such as first-order (delta, duration) and second-order (gamma, convexity) sensitivity, to assess the change in the value of a financial instrument. Although gamma and convexity can be used with delta and duration to estimate the impact of extreme market movements, they are not suited for scenario analysis related to option-embedded bonds.

C选项的答案看不懂,可以再解释一下么?

1 个答案

星星_品职助教 · 2020年02月12日

同学你好,

C选项的意思就是只用sensitivity risk measure不够全面,所以要用full revaluation。这里面举了个例子就是因为题干要分析含权债券,所以只用一二阶导数是不够的。(其实就算不含权,仅用一二阶导数也是不全面的。只是含权债券的例子更为极端和复杂一些)