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ciaoyy · 2019年12月29日

问一道题:NO.PZ2019103001000060

问题如下:

Regarding inter-market trades in general her notes indicate:

IV. Inter-market trades should be assessed based on currency-hedged returns.

V. Anticipated changes in yield spreads are the primary driver of inter-market trades.

VI. Whether a bond offers a relatively attractive return depends on both the portfolio’s base currency and the currency in which the bond is denominated.

Which of Winslow’s statements about inter-market trades is incorrect?

选项:

A.

Statement IV

B.

Statement V

C.

Statement VI

解释:

C is correct.

Winslow’s Statement VI is incorrect. Due to covered interest arbitrage, the relative attractiveness of bonds does not depend on the currency into which they are hedged for comparison. Hence, the ranking of bonds does not depend on the base currency of the portfolio.

A is incorrect because Winslow’s Statement IV is correct. Inter-market trades should be assessed on the basis of returns hedged into a common currency. Doing so ensures that they are comparable. Neither local currency returns nor unhedged returns are comparable across markets because they involve different currency exposures/risks.

B is incorrect because Winslow’s Statement V is correct. The primary driver of inter-market trades is anticipated changes in yield differentials. Over horizons most relevant for active bond management, the capital gains/losses arising from yield movements generally dominate the income component of return (i.e., carry) and rolling down the curve. Hence, expectations with respect to yield movements are the primary driver of inter-market trade decisions.

Anticipated changes in yield spreads are the primary driver of inter-market trades。何老师上课有说除了inter-market carry trade是需要假设stable yield curve的,其他前面所有谈及的intra-market strategies其实都可以用来做inter-market strategy。 那是不是意味着riding the yield curve也可以做inter-market strategy且不用假设stable?

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已采纳答案

发亮_品职助教 · 2019年12月29日

嗨,爱思考的PZer你好:


"那是不是意味着riding the yield curve也可以做inter-market strategy且不用假设stable?"


Riding the yield curve也可以做Inter-market strategy.

在国际市场上做这个策略,和国内的要求是一样的:Upward sloping yield curve、Stable yield curve.



在三级我们学过的所有固定收益策略,都是默认在一国内部完成的,这些所有的策略都可以应用到国际市场,例如:

Stable yield curve下的策略:Buy-and-hold,Riding the yield curve、Sell Convexity、Carry trade;

以及Unstable yield curve下的策略:Duration management、Buy convexity、Barbell/Bullet structure.

这些所有的策略都可以应用到国际市场,当在国际市场时,就对应的是Inter-market strategies;

我们三级只讲了Inter-market carry trade,是因为他最复杂;没有讲其他的Inter-market strategies是因为其他的国际市场策略和国内做是一模一样的,只不过额外涉及一个外汇问题。

所以Riding the yield curve也可以做Inter-market strategy,要求和国内的一模一样。



“Anticipated changes in yield spreads are the primary driver of inter-market trades。”


关于这句话的意思是说:国际市场策略中,最大的收益来源是收益率曲线变动带来的。

这点完全正确,因为收益率曲线的变动,会产生很大的Capital Gain/Capital Loss这个收益远远大于Carry trade中的息差收益,以及Riding the yield curve中Rolldown带来的收益。

用原版书的句子就是:

收益率曲线变动带来的Capital gain / loss部分,要dominate the income component of return (i.e., carry) and rolling down the curve.

也就是:收益率曲线变动带来的Capital gain / loss要远远大于Carry和Rolldown带来的收益。


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