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今天也要来一杯 · 2019年12月27日

问一道题:NO.PZ201511190100000405

* 问题详情,请 查看题干

问题如下:

With regard to Johnson’s comment relating to Garnier’s research analysts, which of the following biases is most likely to be present in the analysts’ data?

选项:

A.

Confirmation bias.

B.

Availability bias.

C.

Self-attribution bias.

解释:

A is correct.

Confirmation bias, a cognitive bias, is the tendency for people to misread evidence as additional support for an initial hypothesis. Confirmation bias is a potential bias for analysts conducting research. It is a form of resolving cognitive dissonance that described the tendency to search for, or interpret, information in a way that confirms the analyst’s prior beliefs. The additional information may not be analyzed in a rigorous way, but it can nevertheless appear to make the judgment or forecast more likely by sharing some of its general characteristics.

"john's comment on..." 是指 “only securities that are covered by Garnier’s research analysts and approved by the Private Wealth Investment Committee can be placed in a client’s portfolio.”这句么?为何不能从后边提到的confidence、proud..认为存在confidence bias,并从而选C呢

2 个答案

王琛_品职助教 · 2021年09月06日

嗨,努力学习的PZer你好:


助教的回答,指向的指向的是Johnson有confirmation bias.但是问题不是问bias in the analysts’ data么?

1

同学说的是正确的,选项 A 针对的是 analyst 分析师,而不是客户 Johnson

考查的知识点是 Analyst Biases in Conducting Research,分析师做研究时可能会出现的偏差,包括 confirmation bias,请参考基础班讲义 P144

2

这道题我个人认为出的不是太好,咱们通过题目顺带复习一下知识点即可,不需要纠结哈

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就算太阳没有迎着我们而来,我们正在朝着它而去,加油!

企鹅_品职助教 · 2019年12月28日

嗨,从没放弃的小努力你好:


Johnson‘s comment 指的是描写Johnson那段的最后一句话“she indicate that her risk tolerance......support it”

confirmation bias指的是只注意支持自己观点的证据,忽略不支持的证据。这道题中Johnson看到分析师支持自己的某只股票,就提高了风险容忍度,忽略了市场上可能的其他不支持的观点,所以是confirmation bias.


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加油吧,让我们一起遇见更好的自己!


Yan · 2021年09月05日

助教的回答,指向的指向的是Johnson有confirmation bias.但是问题不是问bias in the analysts’ data么?

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NO.PZ201511190100000405 问题如下 With regarto Johnson’s comment relating to Garnier’s researanalysts, whiof the following biases is most likely to present in the analysts’ t A.Confirmation bias. B.Availability bias. C.Self-attribution bias. A is correct.Confirmation bias, a cognitive bias, is the tennfor people to misreevinaitionsupport for initihypothesis. Confirmation biis a potentibifor analysts concting research. It is a form of resolving cognitive ssonanthscribethe tennto searfor, or interpret, information in a wthconfirms the analyst’s prior beliefs. The aitioninformation mnot analyzein a rigorous way, but it cnevertheless appeto make the jument or forecast more likely sharing some of its genercharacteristics. 老师好 “\"if she knew thmore thone of Garnier’s researanalysts supporteit.\" 这句怎么听起来是在责备人家 ,就是说如果Johnson知道有G的researanalyst 支持 ,她的投资策略会增加, 之所以没增加 是因为她不知道有analysts支持? 有点感觉是错了怪人家意思,就是选C 的感觉?哪里分析错了?谢谢。

2022-07-11 17:18 1 · 回答

NO.PZ201511190100000405 问题如下 With regarto Johnson’s comment relating to Garnier’s researanalysts, whiof the following biases is most likely to present in the analysts’ t A.Confirmation bias. B.Availability bias. C.Self-attribution bias. A is correct.Confirmation bias, a cognitive bias, is the tennfor people to misreevinaitionsupport for initihypothesis. Confirmation biis a potentibifor analysts concting research. It is a form of resolving cognitive ssonanthscribethe tennto searfor, or interpret, information in a wthconfirms the analyst’s prior beliefs. The aitioninformation mnot analyzein a rigorous way, but it cnevertheless appeto make the jument or forecast more likely sharing some of its genercharacteristics. 没看懂题,这是说如果有了分析师的支持, J会出现什么偏差么?

2022-07-04 17:05 1 · 回答

NO.PZ201511190100000405 如果本题按照助教的说,主要是围绕分析师分析数据会出现的偏差,为什么B、C不选?

2021-12-22 11:09 1 · 回答

NO.PZ201511190100000405 这道题目关于confirmation basis和availability basis的区别没看明白。 看助教回答说分析师支持Johnson自己的股票所以是confirmation basis,如果是这样我理解。因为说明分析师confirm了Johnson已有的决定。 但题目中没说分析师支持的是Johnson已经有的股票啊,只是说分析师看好的股票Johnson愿意多承担风险。这不就是相当于Johnson愿意接受分析师推荐的股票,是availability basis么?

2021-10-08 21:15 1 · 回答

NO.PZ201511190100000405 有点没太懂这道题想问什么~ 麻烦下~~ 怎么会冒出analysts' ta的字眼呢?

2021-09-05 21:35 1 · 回答