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wenxing · 2019年11月12日

问一道题:NO.PZ201809170300000204 第4小题 [ CFA II ]

* 问题详情,请 查看题干

问题如下图:这道题怎么解呢???

选项:

A.

B.

C.

解释:

1 个答案

maggie_品职助教 · 2019年11月13日

1、这道题就是敏感性分析,我们想分析下改变任何一个变量对于最后的估值的影响,哪个变量改变对于估值的影响最大,那么哪个因子就越敏感。

2、不要一看到大量的计算就紧张,这个李老师上基础课讲过的也有对应的例题(见讲义196-199页)。我建议你先听下课再来做题会事半功倍的。


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NO.PZ201809170300000204 Baseon Exhibit 3, Ho’s FCFF sensitivity analysis shoulconclu thColanari’s value is most sensitive to the: FCFF growth rate. before-tcost of bt. requirerate of return for equity. C is correct. Colanari’s valuation is most sensitive to the cost of equity (re) because the range of estimatevalues is larger ththe valuation ranges estimatefrom the sensitivity analysis of both the FCFF growth rate (GFCFF) anthe before-tcost of (r. WA= [w× r1 –  Trate)] + (we × re). Firm value = FCFF0(1 + g)/(WA–  g). Cost of equity sensitivity Using the base case estimates for the FCFF growth rate anthe before-tcost of anusing the low estimate for the cost of equity (re) of 10.0%, the valuation estimate is WA= [(0.30)(0.049)(1 –  0.35)] + (0.70)(0.10) = 7.96%. Firm value = 140 million(1 + 0.046)/(0.0796 –  0.046) = € 4,364.18 million. Using the base case estimates for the FCFF growth rate anthe before-tcost of anusing the high estimate for the cost of equity (re) of 12.0%, the valuation estimate is WA= [(0.30)(0.049)(1 –  0.35)] + (0.70)(0.120) = 9.36%. Firm value = 140 million(1 + 0.046)/(0.0936 –  0.046) = € 3,079.38 million. Therefore, the range in valuation estimates from using the highest anlowest estimates of the cost of equity is € 1,284.80 million. FCFF growth rate sensitivity Using the base case estimates for the cost of equity anthe before-tcost of anusing the low estimate for the FCFF growth rate (GFCFF) of 4.2%, the valuation estimate is WA= [(0.30)(0.049)(1 –  0.35)] + (0.70)(0.11) = 8.66%. Firm value = 140 million(1 + 0.042)/(0.0866 –  0.042) = € 3,274.16 million. Using the base case estimates for the cost of equity anthe before-tcost of anusing the high estimate for the FCFF growth rate (GFCFF) of 5.0%, the valuation estimate is WA= [(0.30)(0.049)(1 –  0.35)] + (0.70)(0.11) = 8.66%. Firm value = 140 million(1 + 0.05)/(0.0866 –  0.05) = € 4,021.34 million. Therefore, the range in valuation estimates from using the highest anlowest estimates of the FCFF growth rate is € 747.18 million. Before-tcost of sensitivity Using the base case estimates for the FCFF growth rate anthe cost of equity anusing the low estimate for the beforetcost of (r of 3.9%, the valuation estimate is WA= [(0.30)(0.039)(1 –  0.35)] + (0.70)(0.11) = 8.46%. Firm value = 140 million(1 + 0.046)/(0.0846 –  0.046) = € 3,793.29 million. Using the base case estimates for the FCFF growth rate anthe cost of equity anusing the high estimate for the before-tcost of (r of 5.9%, the valuation estimate is WA= [(0.30)(0.059)(1 –  0.35)] + (0.70)(0.11) = 8.85%. Firm value = 140 million(1 + 0.046)/(0.0885 –  0.046) = € 3,445.24 million. Therefore, the range in valuation estimates from using the highest anlowest estimates of the before-tcost of is € 348.05 million. 老师好,这个能当结论记住吗?谢谢

2021-11-23 16:48 1 · 回答

NO.PZ201809170300000204 Baseon Exhibit 3, Ho’s FCFF sensitivity analysis shoulconclu thColanari’s value is most sensitive to the: FCFF growth rate. before-tcost of bt. requirerate of return for equity. C is correct. Colanari’s valuation is most sensitive to the cost of equity (re) because the range of estimatevalues is larger ththe valuation ranges estimatefrom the sensitivity analysis of both the FCFF growth rate (GFCFF) anthe before-tcost of (r. WA= [w× r1 –  Trate)] + (we × re). Firm value = FCFF0(1 + g)/(WA–  g). Cost of equity sensitivity Using the base case estimates for the FCFF growth rate anthe before-tcost of anusing the low estimate for the cost of equity (re) of 10.0%, the valuation estimate is WA= [(0.30)(0.049)(1 –  0.35)] + (0.70)(0.10) = 7.96%. Firm value = 140 million(1 + 0.046)/(0.0796 –  0.046) = € 4,364.18 million. Using the base case estimates for the FCFF growth rate anthe before-tcost of anusing the high estimate for the cost of equity (re) of 12.0%, the valuation estimate is WA= [(0.30)(0.049)(1 –  0.35)] + (0.70)(0.120) = 9.36%. Firm value = 140 million(1 + 0.046)/(0.0936 –  0.046) = € 3,079.38 million. Therefore, the range in valuation estimates from using the highest anlowest estimates of the cost of equity is € 1,284.80 million. FCFF growth rate sensitivity Using the base case estimates for the cost of equity anthe before-tcost of anusing the low estimate for the FCFF growth rate (GFCFF) of 4.2%, the valuation estimate is WA= [(0.30)(0.049)(1 –  0.35)] + (0.70)(0.11) = 8.66%. Firm value = 140 million(1 + 0.042)/(0.0866 –  0.042) = € 3,274.16 million. Using the base case estimates for the cost of equity anthe before-tcost of anusing the high estimate for the FCFF growth rate (GFCFF) of 5.0%, the valuation estimate is WA= [(0.30)(0.049)(1 –  0.35)] + (0.70)(0.11) = 8.66%. Firm value = 140 million(1 + 0.05)/(0.0866 –  0.05) = € 4,021.34 million. Therefore, the range in valuation estimates from using the highest anlowest estimates of the FCFF growth rate is € 747.18 million. Before-tcost of sensitivity Using the base case estimates for the FCFF growth rate anthe cost of equity anusing the low estimate for the beforetcost of (r of 3.9%, the valuation estimate is WA= [(0.30)(0.039)(1 –  0.35)] + (0.70)(0.11) = 8.46%. Firm value = 140 million(1 + 0.046)/(0.0846 –  0.046) = € 3,793.29 million. Using the base case estimates for the FCFF growth rate anthe cost of equity anusing the high estimate for the before-tcost of (r of 5.9%, the valuation estimate is WA= [(0.30)(0.059)(1 –  0.35)] + (0.70)(0.11) = 8.85%. Firm value = 140 million(1 + 0.046)/(0.0885 –  0.046) = € 3,445.24 million. Therefore, the range in valuation estimates from using the highest anlowest estimates of the before-tcost of is € 348.05 million. 这道题目不能简化求解吗?可以概括为一个规律吗? 还是一定要每次都针对题目的实际情况求解

2021-04-08 06:33 1 · 回答

Baseon Exhibit 3, Ho’s FCFF sensitivity analysis shoulconclu thColanari’s value is most sensitive to the: FCFF growth rate. before-tcost of bt. requirerate of return for equity. C is correct. Colanari’s valuation is most sensitive to the cost of equity (re) because the range of estimatevalues is larger ththe valuation ranges estimatefrom the sensitivity analysis of both the FCFF growth rate (GFCFF) anthe before-tcost of (r. WA= [w× r1 –  Trate)] + (we × re). Firm value = FCFF0(1 + g)/(WA–  g). Cost of equity sensitivity Using the base case estimates for the FCFF growth rate anthe before-tcost of anusing the low estimate for the cost of equity (re) of 10.0%, the valuation estimate is WA= [(0.30)(0.049)(1 –  0.35)] + (0.70)(0.10) = 7.96%. Firm value = 140 million(1 + 0.046)/(0.0796 –  0.046) = € 4,364.18 million. Using the base case estimates for the FCFF growth rate anthe before-tcost of anusing the high estimate for the cost of equity (re) of 12.0%, the valuation estimate is WA= [(0.30)(0.049)(1 –  0.35)] + (0.70)(0.120) = 9.36%. Firm value = 140 million(1 + 0.046)/(0.0936 –  0.046) = € 3,079.38 million. Therefore, the range in valuation estimates from using the highest anlowest estimates of the cost of equity is € 1,284.80 million. FCFF growth rate sensitivity Using the base case estimates for the cost of equity anthe before-tcost of anusing the low estimate for the FCFF growth rate (GFCFF) of 4.2%, the valuation estimate is WA= [(0.30)(0.049)(1 –  0.35)] + (0.70)(0.11) = 8.66%. Firm value = 140 million(1 + 0.042)/(0.0866 –  0.042) = € 3,274.16 million. Using the base case estimates for the cost of equity anthe before-tcost of anusing the high estimate for the FCFF growth rate (GFCFF) of 5.0%, the valuation estimate is WA= [(0.30)(0.049)(1 –  0.35)] + (0.70)(0.11) = 8.66%. Firm value = 140 million(1 + 0.05)/(0.0866 –  0.05) = € 4,021.34 million. Therefore, the range in valuation estimates from using the highest anlowest estimates of the FCFF growth rate is € 747.18 million. Before-tcost of sensitivity Using the base case estimates for the FCFF growth rate anthe cost of equity anusing the low estimate for the beforetcost of (r of 3.9%, the valuation estimate is WA= [(0.30)(0.039)(1 –  0.35)] + (0.70)(0.11) = 8.46%. Firm value = 140 million(1 + 0.046)/(0.0846 –  0.046) = € 3,793.29 million. Using the base case estimates for the FCFF growth rate anthe cost of equity anusing the high estimate for the before-tcost of (r of 5.9%, the valuation estimate is WA= [(0.30)(0.059)(1 –  0.35)] + (0.70)(0.11) = 8.85%. Firm value = 140 million(1 + 0.046)/(0.0885 –  0.046) = € 3,445.24 million. Therefore, the range in valuation estimates from using the highest anlowest estimates of the before-tcost of is € 348.05 million. 敏感性分析怎么能那最终结果的变化做为衡量标准呢?变量变化同样的百分比,看因变量的变化百分比,这才对吧。

2020-10-18 21:46 1 · 回答

老师,这题我完整的算了一遍,这题答案的计算结果均有偏差,您看是不是有问题?

2020-03-29 21:32 1 · 回答

Baseon Exhibit 3, Ho’s FCFF sensitivity analysis shoulconclu thColanari’s value is most sensitive to the: FCFF growth rate. before-tcost of bt. requirerate of return for equity. C is correct. Colanari’s valuation is most sensitive to the cost of equity (re) because the range of estimatevalues is larger ththe valuation ranges estimatefrom the sensitivity analysis of both the FCFF growth rate (GFCFF) anthe before-tcost of (r. WA= [w× r1 –  Trate)] + (we × re). Firm value = FCFF0(1 + g)/(WA–  g). Cost of equity sensitivity Using the base case estimates for the FCFF growth rate anthe before-tcost of anusing the low estimate for the cost of equity (re) of 10.0%, the valuation estimate is WA= [(0.30)(0.049)(1 –  0.35)] + (0.70)(0.10) = 7.96%. Firm value = 140 million(1 + 0.046)/(0.0796 –  0.046) = € 4,364.18 million. Using the base case estimates for the FCFF growth rate anthe before-tcost of anusing the high estimate for the cost of equity (re) of 12.0%, the valuation estimate is WA= [(0.30)(0.049)(1 –  0.35)] + (0.70)(0.120) = 9.36%. Firm value = 140 million(1 + 0.046)/(0.0936 –  0.046) = € 3,079.38 million. Therefore, the range in valuation estimates from using the highest anlowest estimates of the cost of equity is € 1,284.80 million. FCFF growth rate sensitivity Using the base case estimates for the cost of equity anthe before-tcost of anusing the low estimate for the FCFF growth rate (GFCFF) of 4.2%, the valuation estimate is WA= [(0.30)(0.049)(1 –  0.35)] + (0.70)(0.11) = 8.66%. Firm value = 140 million(1 + 0.042)/(0.0866 –  0.042) = € 3,274.16 million. Using the base case estimates for the cost of equity anthe before-tcost of anusing the high estimate for the FCFF growth rate (GFCFF) of 5.0%, the valuation estimate is WA= [(0.30)(0.049)(1 –  0.35)] + (0.70)(0.11) = 8.66%. Firm value = 140 million(1 + 0.05)/(0.0866 –  0.05) = € 4,021.34 million. Therefore, the range in valuation estimates from using the highest anlowest estimates of the FCFF growth rate is € 747.18 million. Before-tcost of sensitivity Using the base case estimates for the FCFF growth rate anthe cost of equity anusing the low estimate for the beforetcost of (r of 3.9%, the valuation estimate is WA= [(0.30)(0.039)(1 –  0.35)] + (0.70)(0.11) = 8.46%. Firm value = 140 million(1 + 0.046)/(0.0846 –  0.046) = € 3,793.29 million. Using the base case estimates for the FCFF growth rate anthe cost of equity anusing the high estimate for the before-tcost of (r of 5.9%, the valuation estimate is WA= [(0.30)(0.059)(1 –  0.35)] + (0.70)(0.11) = 8.85%. Firm value = 140 million(1 + 0.046)/(0.0885 –  0.046) = € 3,445.24 million. Therefore, the range in valuation estimates from using the highest anlowest estimates of the before-tcost of is € 348.05 million. 为什么要用Base rate和High estimate计算呢?

2020-01-29 11:15 1 · 回答