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PaisleyPPx · 2019年10月13日

问一道题:NO.PZ2017092702000082

问题如下图:

    

选项:

A.

B.

C.

解释:


老师 p(5)那个公式weis为什么是(5-4)!5!呢? 为什么是 减4?

1 个答案

星星_品职助教 · 2019年10月14日

同学你好,

那个公式应该是(5-5)!5!。

多说一句,实际上做题的时候是不用公式计算的,而是用计算器: 5C5的按法是 输入5, 2nd “+”,再输入 5,按 =,直接得到结果为1.

其实对于5C5这种问题,其实就是5个里面选5个出来(不排序),只有一种可能。考试的时候可以加快些速度,加油。

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NO.PZ2017092702000082 问题如下 A portfolio manager annually outperforms her benchmark 60% of the time. Assuming inpennt annutrials, whis the probability thshe will outperform her benchmark four or more times over the next five years? A.0.26 B.0.34 C.0.48 B is correct.To calculate the probability of 4 years of outperformance, use the formulp(x)=P(X=x)=(nx)px(1−p)n−xp{(x)}=P{(X=x)}={(\begin{array}{c}n\\x\enarray})}p^x{(1-p)}^{n-x}p(x)=P(X=x)=(nx​)px(1−p)n−x Using this formula to calculate the probability in 4 of 5 years, n = 5, x = 4 anp = 0.60. Therefore, p(4)=5!(5−4)!4!0.64(1−0.6)5−4=(120/24)(0.1296)(0.40)=0.2592p{(4)}=\frac{5!}{{(5-4)}!4!}0.6^4{(1-0.6)}^{5-4}={(120/24)}{(0.1296)}{(0.40)}=0.2592p(4)=(5−4)!4!5!​0.64(1−0.6)5−4=(120/24)(0.1296)(0.40)=0.2592p(5)=5!(5−4)!5!0.65(1−0.6)5−5=(120/120)(0.0778)(1)=0.0778p{(5)}=\frac{5!}{{(5-4)}!5!}0.6^5{(1-0.6)}^{5-5}={(120/120)}{(0.0778)}{(1)}=0.0778p(5)=(5−4)!5!5!​0.65(1−0.6)5−5=(120/120)(0.0778)(1)=0.0778The probability of outperforming 4 or more times is p(4) + p(5) = 0.2592 + 0.0778 = 0.3370 计算outperform四次的公式如下5C4*0.6^4为什么不是后面乘以5C1(1-0.6),而是只乘以1(1-0.6)

2023-08-16 02:49 1 · 回答

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2023-04-19 19:19 1 · 回答

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2022-07-19 07:25 1 · 回答

老师您好,看不太懂答案,可以一下具体解题步骤和计算器步骤吗?

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2019-12-25 00:09 2 · 回答