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jaydengu · 2019年05月29日

equitiy-trailing P/E



  1. In assessing BTP’s trailing P/E, be sure to adjust for its counter-cyclical property called the Molodovsky effect.



 BTP is a cyclical company. Empirically, P/Es for cyclical companies are often highly volatile over a cycle even without any change in business prospects. High P/Es on depressed earnings per share (EPS) at the bottom of the cycle and low P/Es on unusually high EPS at the top of the cycle reflect the countercyclical property of P/Es known as the Molodovsky effect.

可以帮忙解释答案的这一句话吗多谢!



1 个答案

maggie_品职助教 · 2019年05月30日

对于周期性行业来说,在经济低迷时,利润较低,但是PE就会表现的很高,而在经济繁荣时,由于利润较高但PE很低,这种逆着经济周期走势的现象就叫做Molodovsky effect。这是很偏的知识点,所以才会出现在模考题里。我们在计算PE时,要计算normalized earning其中就需要调整周期对盈利的影响。

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