问题如下图：
选项：
A. 
B. 
C. 
解释：
为什么国债名义利率里面会包含premium？不是无风险吗？
Wendy_品职助教 · 2019年04月17日
债券市场的收益率可以简单地划分为两部分，一是risk-free interest rate，二是risk premium。如果收益率曲线表现为上升，那么有三种可能：
1.risk-free interest rate和risk premium同时上升;
2.risk-free interest rate上升，risk premium下降，但是前者上升的幅度超过后者下降的幅度;
3.risk-free interest rate下降，risk premium上升，但是前者下降的幅度小于后者上升的幅度。
因此仅观察债券市场的收益率曲线不能判断未来预测利率变化的方向。
可以复习一下基础班讲义第126页，Government bond 是有risk premium的，你可以把它简化理解为是对long maturity的补偿。
如果真的想认真研究透这点，还是建议重新听一下何老师在这个知识点的基础班课程。
NO.PZ2015121810000034 问题如下 analyst, who measures yiela combination of interest rates anpremiums, observes upwarsloping, fault-free government bonnominyielcurve. Whiof the following statements is correct? A.Interest rates must expecteto rise in the future. B.Bonrisk premiums must expecteto rise in the future. C.Expectations relating to the future rection of interest rates are interminate. C is correct.upwarsloping yielcurve mcausea combination of expecterate increases anpositive bonrisk premiums. It malso a combination of expectations thinterest rates will unchangein the future couplewith positive bonrisk premiums. Lastly, upwarsloping yielcurve mactually a reflection of expecterate cuts thare more thoffset the existenof positive bonrisk premiums. So, expectations relating to the future rection of interest rates are interminate. 考点yielcurve解析债券市场的收益率可以简单地划分为两部分，一是risk-free interest rate，二是risk premium。如果收益率曲线表现为上升，那么有三种可能1.risk-free interest rate和risk premium同时上升;2.risk-free interest rate上升，risk premium下降，但是前者上升的幅度超过后者下降的幅度;3.risk-free interest rate下降，risk premium上升，但是前者下降的幅度小于后者上升的幅度。因此仅观察债券市场的收益率曲线不能判断未来预测利率变化的方向。 所以这里non-fault government bonnomininterest rate就是nomininterest rate=reinterest rate+risk premium, 那为什么要强调no fault? 我有点不理解这里的risk premium来自哪里
NO.PZ2015121810000034问题如下analyst, who measures yiela combination of interest rates anpremiums, observes upwarsloping, fault-free government bonnominyielcurve. Whiof the following statements is correct?A.Interest rates must expecteto rise in the future.B.Bonrisk premiums must expecteto rise in the future.C.Expectations relating to the future rection of interest rates are interminate.C is correct.upwarsloping yielcurve mcausea combination of expecterate increases anpositive bonrisk premiums. It malso a combination of expectations thinterest rates will unchangein the future couplewith positive bonrisk premiums. Lastly, upwarsloping yielcurve mactually a reflection of expecterate cuts thare more thoffset the existenof positive bonrisk premiums. So, expectations relating to the future rection of interest rates are interminate. 考点yielcurve解析债券市场的收益率可以简单地划分为两部分，一是risk-free interest rate，二是risk premium。如果收益率曲线表现为上升，那么有三种可能1.risk-free interest rate和risk premium同时上升;2.risk-free interest rate上升，risk premium下降，但是前者上升的幅度超过后者下降的幅度;3.risk-free interest rate下降，risk premium上升，但是前者下降的幅度小于后者上升的幅度。因此仅观察债券市场的收益率曲线不能判断未来预测利率变化的方向。框架图这里涉及Government bon risk premiums are positive anrelateto the consumption of h eing benefits of government bon, 请问如何理解consumption of heing benefits？
NO.PZ2015121810000034 问题如下 analyst, who measures yiela combination of interest rates anpremiums, observes upwarsloping, fault-free government bonnominyielcurve. Whiof the following statements is correct? A.Interest rates must expecteto rise in the future. B.Bonrisk premiums must expecteto rise in the future. C.Expectations relating to the future rection of interest rates are interminate. C is correct.upwarsloping yielcurve mcausea combination of expecterate increases anpositive bonrisk premiums. It malso a combination of expectations thinterest rates will unchangein the future couplewith positive bonrisk premiums. Lastly, upwarsloping yielcurve mactually a reflection of expecterate cuts thare more thoffset the existenof positive bonrisk premiums. So, expectations relating to the future rection of interest rates are interminate. 考点yielcurve解析债券市场的收益率可以简单地划分为两部分，一是risk-free interest rate，二是risk premium。如果收益率曲线表现为上升，那么有三种可能1.risk-free interest rate和risk premium同时上升;2.risk-free interest rate上升，risk premium下降，但是前者上升的幅度超过后者下降的幅度;3.risk-free interest rate下降，risk premium上升，但是前者下降的幅度小于后者上升的幅度。因此仅观察债券市场的收益率曲线不能判断未来预测利率变化的方向。 题干说“who measures yiela combination of interest rates anpremiums”，这句话本身是知识点吗，还是仅仅是在描述这道题目主人公measure yiel方法而已？在讲到yielcurve on nominfault-free bon，老师和讲义上都没提到yielcurve和premium之间的关联。
NO.PZ2015121810000034 这里说的直接就是“interest rates”，而不是直接说清楚是reinterest rate，这样无法判断究竟是要对比总的interest rate ,还是只看reinterest rate。考试遇到的话如何处理，只要出现interest rate就直接默认是real的吗？（因为如果认为是总的interest rate的话，自然说了upwarsloping的话，未来的expecte总interest rate还是可以知道是上涨的，直接选A就好了）
NO.PZ2015121810000034 Bonrisk premiums must expecteto rise in the future. Expectations relating to the future rection of interest rates are interminate. C is correct. upwarsloping yielcurve mcausea combination of expecterate increases anpositive bonrisk premiums. It malso a combination of expectations thinterest rates will unchangein the future couplewith positive bonrisk premiums. Lastly, upwarsloping yielcurve mactually a reflection of expecterate cuts thare more thoffset the existenof positive bonrisk premiums. So, expectations relating to the future rection of interest rates are interminate. 考点yielcurve 解析 债券市场的收益率可以简单地划分为两部分，一是risk-free interest rate，二是risk premium。如果收益率曲线表现为上升，那么有三种可能 1.risk-free interest rate和risk premium同时上升; 2.risk-free interest rate上升，risk premium下降，但是前者上升的幅度超过后者下降的幅度; 3.risk-free interest rate下降，risk premium上升，但是前者下降的幅度小于后者上升的幅度。 因此仅观察债券市场的收益率曲线不能判断未来预测利率变化的方向。 一般收益率向上倾斜不是未来利率上涨吗？跟风险补偿有什么关系