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ZAA · 2018年11月21日

问一道题:NO.PZ2017092702000088 [ CFA I ]

问题如下图:

选项:

A.

B.

C.

解释:

这个p是指的什么意思啊?什么时候用这个正态分布?然后前面有一道题目是问benchmark of 75percent,就是F3喂p3 加上p2加上p1是软算的阶乘乘以概率

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已采纳答案

菲菲_品职助教 · 2018年11月21日

同学你好,所有的P都代表着概率的意思。这题其实考的是第一安全比率,因为题目中说,投资者有一个最小收益率的要求,即4%。要我们求的是组合的实际收益率不能满足这个最小收益率的概率是多少。计算过程中会涉及到标准正态分布的一个转化,在基础班课程中的第一安全比率的知识点里面有一道相关的例题,跟着道题思路差不多,你可以再去听一下,那道题搞懂了,这道题也就不会有什么问题了。

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NO.PZ2017092702000088 问题如下 A portfolio hexpectereturn of 7% with a stanrviation of 13%. For investor with a minimum annureturn target of 4%, the probability ththe portfolio return will fail to meet the target is closest to: A.33%. B.41%. C.59% B is correct.B is correct. using Excel's NORM.S. ST() function, we get NORM.S. ST((4%-7%)/13%) = 40.87%. The probability ththe portfolio willl unrperform the target is about 41%.本题要求的P(X<4%)的概率。第一步先做标准化后才能查表。然后代入标准化的公式即可。-------------------------------------------------------------------------There are three steps, whiinvolve stanrzing the portfolio return: First, subtrathe portfolio mereturn from easi of the inequality: P(Portfolio return – 7%) ≤ 4% – 7%). Secon vi easi of the inequality the stanrviation of portfolio return: P[(Portfolio return – 7%)/13% ≤ (4% – 7%)/13%] = P(Z ≤ –0.2308) = N(–0.2308). Thir recognize thon the left-hansi we have a stanrnormvariable, noteZ anN(–x) = 1 – N(x). Rounng –0.2308 to –0.23 for use with the cumulative stribution function (c) table, we have N(–0.23) = 1 – N(0.23) = 1 – 0.5910 = 0.409, approximately 41 percent. The probability ththe portfolio will unrperform the target is about 41 percent. 求问这道题0.59是不是要靠查表啊?题目没有给出表是不是就无法求出0.59?

2022-07-19 07:53 1 · 回答

NO.PZ2017092702000088 问题如下 A portfolio hexpectereturn of 7% with a stanrviation of 13%. For investor with a minimum annureturn target of 4%, the probability ththe portfolio return will fail to meet the target is closest to: A.33%. B.41%. C.59% B is correct.B is correct. using Excel's NORM.S. ST() function, we get NORM.S. ST((4%-7%)/13%) = 40.87%. The probability ththe portfolio willl unrperform the target is about 41%.本题要求的P(X<4%)的概率。第一步先做标准化后才能查表。然后代入标准化的公式即可。-------------------------------------------------------------------------There are three steps, whiinvolve stanrzing the portfolio return: First, subtrathe portfolio mereturn from easi of the inequality: P(Portfolio return – 7%) ≤ 4% – 7%). Secon vi easi of the inequality the stanrviation of portfolio return: P[(Portfolio return – 7%)/13% ≤ (4% – 7%)/13%] = P(Z ≤ –0.2308) = N(–0.2308). Thir recognize thon the left-hansi we have a stanrnormvariable, noteZ anN(–x) = 1 – N(x). Rounng –0.2308 to –0.23 for use with the cumulative stribution function (c) table, we have N(–0.23) = 1 – N(0.23) = 1 – 0.5910 = 0.409, approximately 41 percent. The probability ththe portfolio will unrperform the target is about 41 percent. 請問這題爲何最終沒有用1-40.90%,謝謝

2022-04-24 23:31 1 · 回答

NO.PZ2017092702000088 老师,题目中的7%为预期回报,怎么就把他当做公式中的均值了呢?

2021-11-24 16:54 1 · 回答

NO.PZ2017092702000088 老师,看到这道题我第一思路是E(Rp)=7%,方差=13%,Rl=4%,可求出SFR=23%。题目问 target fali,我理解意思是寻找SFR>23%的数字,因为这样Rl就会<4%,没有达到minimize的要求,我陷在这个思路里出不来了,没有想到用标准化公式。请老师帮忙指点迷津,谢谢!

2021-04-04 18:12 1 · 回答

NO.PZ2017092702000088 我想问的是u为什么是百分之7,u是均值,这里的%7不是return吗???

2021-02-05 16:56 2 · 回答