NO.PZ2025041201000035
问题如下：
A country with a developed economy has its own currency, XYZ, and its most important exports are high - tech electronics and automotive products. In a stress test of the country’s banking system, which of the following is most consistent with being part of a coherent scenario?
选项：
A.An increase in domestic deflation and depreciation of the XYZ.
B.A significant decrease in global demand for high - tech electronics and an increase in the country’s real estate price index.
C.A drop in automotive exports and depreciation of the XYZ.
D.A sustained increase in global demand for high - tech electronics and an increase in the country’s bond index.
解释：
Option A：An increase in domestic deflation and depreciation of the currency don’t have a direct logical connection here. Deflation and currency depreciation can have complex relationships, but in the context of the country’s exports (high - tech and automotive), this doesn’t form a coherent scenario. So, this option is incorrect.
Option B：A decrease in global demand for high - tech electronics would likely hurt the economy, but an increase in real estate prices doesn’t logically follow. There’s no clear coherent link between these two factors given the country’s export - based economy. So, this option is incorrect.
Option C：A drop in automotive exports (a key export) would weaken the economy, and currency depreciation (XYZ) can logically follow as the economy weakens. This forms a coherent scenario where one factor (drop in exports) influences another (currency depreciation). Thus, this option is correct.
Option D：An increase in global demand for high - tech electronics (a key export) would strengthen the economy, but an increase in the bond index doesn’t have a direct logical connection in a stress - test coherent scenario. Stress tests often look for negative or challenging scenarios, and this doesn’t fit that context. So, this option is incorrect.
选项 A：国内通缩增加和货币贬值之间没有直接的逻辑联系。在这个国家以高科技和汽车出口为背景下，这不能构成一个连贯的场景。所以该选项错误。
选项 B：全球对高科技电子产品需求的显著下降可能会损害经济，但房地产价格指数的上升在逻辑上不相符。鉴于该国基于出口的经济，这两个因素之间没有明确的连贯联系。所以该选项错误。
选项 C：汽车出口（关键出口）的下降会削弱经济，而货币贬值（XYZ）在经济走弱时符合逻辑。这形成了一个连贯的场景，其中一个因素（出口下降）影响另一个因素（货币贬值）。所以该选项正确。
选项 D：全球对高科技电子产品需求的持续增加（关键出口）会增强经济，但债券指数的增加在压力测试连贯场景中没有直接的逻辑联系。压力测试通常关注负面或具有挑战性的场景，这不符合该背景。所以该选项错误。
RT
