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贝贝 · 2018年11月06日

问一道题:NO.PZ201709270100000501 第1小题

* 问题详情,请 查看题干

问题如下图:

    

选项:

A.

B.

C.

解释:


这道题问题是什么意思呢?做题的时候知道考点是什么,但是联系到题目就不知道怎么作答了。

2 个答案

豆好 · 2020年01月21日

对回答有疑问。 随机游走的重要条件是b1=1 , 而不是B0=0 。 b0 只是表示它的起点是否从0点出发而已

菲菲_品职助教 · 2018年11月08日

同学你好,这题是问,在B的三个结论中,哪一条既能满足random walk的性质,又能满足协方差平稳的性质。

Conclusion 1: The variance of xt increases over time.

这一条就违反了协方差平稳条件的第二条:The variance of the time series must be constant and finite in all periods.

Conclusion 2: The mean-reverting level is undefined.

这一条说均值复归水平是不确定的,但对于协方差平稳的时间序列来说,均值复归水平是确定的,所以这一个结论也不符合条件。

Conclusion 3: b0 does not appear to be significantly different from 0.

这个结论翻译过来的意思就是b0=0。我们知道random walk的b0=0,所以符合random walk。此外,协方差平稳的时间序列里面也没有条件或者性质规定b0的取值,所以b0=0也符合协方差平稳的时间序列。综上所述,结论3是我们应该要选取的选项。

这道题目考的比较综合,结合了两个知识点,所以通过原版书的这几个case题,要学会培养自己的做题思路,有些题目并不像一级考试中那么容易理解,所以更要学会提炼题干和问题的关键信息。

 

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NO.PZ201709270100000501 老师,提问区其他的提问跟这个问题不符。另外,可以一下B为啥不对吗?C不是答案刚开始就说不正确吗,并没有说with ift啊

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NO.PZ201709270100000501 这个知识点可以一下吗

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