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180****6136 · 2025年06月22日

周期性和防御性怎么理解呀?

NO.PZ2022120703000093

问题如下:

Excluding the tobacco sector in a passive investment strategy most likely tilts the portfolio towards a more:

选项:

A.cyclical, value-oriented profile.

B.cyclical, growth-oriented profile.

C.defensive, growth-oriented profile.

解释:

B is correct because "incorporating any given set of exclusions or ESG datasets into a passive investment strategy potentially carries unintended consequences, notably by limiting one’s ability to diversify. This may result from portfolio distortion to unwanted factor and market exposure. Despite their weight within a given broader index, reducing or eliminating exposure to certain sectors represents a natural re-weight to the remaining sectors and index constituents. Commonly excluded sectors, like tobacco and fossil fuels, represent a specific profile. Generally speaking, companies in these sectors are more mature and face less pressure to reinvest cash flow into growth-related, capital expenditure programmes. As a result, stable operating margins equate to consistent cash flows and dividend pay-out ratios, which provide defensive, counter-cyclical exposure within portfolios. Indices that exclude or minimize exposure to these sectors will naturally tilt portfolios towards a more cyclical, growth-oriented profile."

A is incorrect because "commonly excluded sectors, like tobacco and fossil fuels, represent a specific profile. Generally speaking, companies in these sectors are more mature and face less pressure to reinvest cash flow into growth-related, capital expenditure programmes. As a result, stable operating margins equate to consistent cash flows and dividend pay-out ratios characteristics of value-oriented profile, which provide defensive, counter-cyclical exposure within portfolios. Indices that exclude or minimise exposure to these sectors will naturally tilt portfolios towards a more cyclical, growth-oriented not value-oriented since such companies are excluded profile."

C is incorrect because "commonly excluded sectors, like tobacco and fossil fuels, represent a specific profile. Generally speaking, companies in these sectors are more mature and face less pressure to reinvest cash flow into growth-related, capital expenditure programmes. As a result, stable operating margins equate to consistent cash flows and dividend pay-out ratios, which provide defensive, counter-cyclical exposure within portfolios. Indices that exclude or minimise exposure to these sectors will naturally tilt portfolios towards a more cyclical not defensive since such companies are excluded, growth-oriented profile."

周期性和防御性怎么理解呀?

1 个答案

净净_品职助教 · 2025年06月22日

嗨,从没放弃的小努力你好:


周期性(Cyclical)行业/股票业绩和股价高度依赖宏观经济周期的行业或公司。在经济扩张期表现好,在经济衰退期表现差。特征:

  • 收入和利润随着经济景气波动很大
  • 盈利不稳定
  • 投资者风险承受能力需要更强
  • 例子:汽车、航空、奢侈品、半导体、能源、银行

投资这些公司就是押注经济会好转或持续强劲。


防御性(Defensive)行业/股票不太受经济波动影响,业绩较稳定的行业或公司。在经济不好时仍然有相对稳定的需求。特征:

  • 收入和利润相对稳定
  • 股价波动较小
  • 常有稳定的分红
  • 例子:烟草、医药、公用事业、生活必需品(如可口可乐)

投资这些公司可以在经济低迷时“防御风险”,相对抗跌。

----------------------------------------------
虽然现在很辛苦,但努力过的感觉真的很好,加油!

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