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LLP210 · 2025年06月21日

关于选项C

* 问题详情,请 查看题干

NO.PZ202212260100003901

问题如下:

(1) Based on Bader’s expectations for current account secular trends as shown in Exhibit 1, Bader should reallocate capital, all else being equal, from:

选项:

A.Country A to Country C. B.Country B to Country A. C.Country C to Country A.

解释:

Correct Answer: A

Bader should reallocate capital from Country A, which is expected to have a secularly rising current account deficit, to Country C, which is expected to have a secularly rising current account surplus. A rising current account deficit will tend to put upward pressure on real required returns and downward pressure on asset prices, whereas a rising current account surplus (or narrowing deficit) will put downward pressure on real required returns and upward pressure on asset prices. Analysts should consider reallocation of portfolio assets from countries with secularly rising current account deficits to those with secularly rising current account surpluses (or narrowing deficits).

中文解析:

贝德应该将资本从A国重新配置到C国,因为A国的经常账户赤字预计会持续上升,而C国的经常账户盈余预计会持续上升。不断上升的经常项目赤字往往会给实际所需回报带来上行压力,给资产价格带来下行压力,而不断上升的经常项目盈余(或不断缩小的赤字)则会给实际所需回报带来下行压力,给资产价格带来上行压力。分析师应考虑将投资组合资产从经常账户赤字持续上升的国家重新配置到经常账户盈余持续上升(或赤字不断缩小)的国家。

老师,这道题,C选项是热钱涌入,为什么能选C

1 个答案

源_品职助教 · 2025年06月23日

嗨,努力学习的PZer你好:


因为本体问的是,expectations for current account secular trends 。

也就是要依据贸易流,经常账户的关系来判断。

而热钱是属于资本账户了,所以在本题中,不是判断的依据。

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努力的时光都是限量版,加油!

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