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迪丽热6 · 2025年06月07日

追问超字数了所以只能重新发

  1. CFA III
  2. Capital Market Expectations

* 问题详情，请 查看题干

NO.PZ202105270100000203

问题如下：

Cambo compares her business cycle forecasting approach to the approach used by the chief economist. Cambo bases her equity market forecast on a time-series model using a composite index of leading indicators as the key input, whereas the chief economist uses a detailed econometric model to generate his economic forecasts.

Discuss strengths and weaknesses of the economic forecasting approaches used by Cambo and the chief economist.


选项：

解释：

leading indicator ：


strengths：simple and intuitive，can identify turning point,available from third parties.


weakness：can provide false signals，overstate in-sample.provide little more than binary.


econometric model：


strengths：robust，imposes consistency on analysis,quantitative estimates


weaknesses：complex and time-consuming，may be mis-specified，rarely forecast turning point, false sense of precision


昨天的提问以为在题库答题页面提交老师可以看到我的答案，结果今天发现并不是。

麻烦老师帮我看看这样回答可不可以，会不会太简略了

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