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REY1225 · 2025年05月19日

答案错了吧

NO.PZ2018091701000019

问题如下:

An investor proposes buying a one-year government zero-coupon bond with face value of $100 and priced at $97.5, investor also collected some market information, the one-year real risk-free rate at 1.56% and unexpected inflation is 2.12% last year, please calculate the implied expected inflation rate for the one-year government zero-coupon bond:

选项:

A.

1.1%

B.

-1.1%

C.

2.5%

解释:

B is correct.

考点计算公式P t= ( C F t+s )/( 1+ l t,1 + θ t,1+ π t,1 ) s

解析根据题干提供的已知变量倒推出未知变量θ97.5=100/(1+ 1.56%+θ+2.12%)

       可以计算出θ=-0.011 or -1.1%

如题,1、一年国债不考虑通胀不确定性吧;2、通胀不确定性 也不等于 去年unexpected inflation吧。

1 个答案

品职助教_七七 · 2025年05月19日

嗨,从没放弃的小努力你好:


答案无误。

1)题目中已经很明确的说明存在unexpected inflation,说明这一项在本题中就是存在的。如果认为不考虑通胀不确定性,需要在题目中给出说明。

2)题目要求implied即推断未来的情况,可以通过过去的历史数据去进行推断。未来的真实数据此刻是未知的。

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努力的时光都是限量版,加油!

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2024-04-28 22:09 1 · 回答

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