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二狗 · 2025年05月18日

能详细解释一下么

NO.PZ2025042401000015

问题如下:

If an investor believes that future spot rates will be below the rates predicted by the existing forward rates, the investor should:

选项:

A.sell a forward contract. B.buy a forward contract. C.neither buy nor sell a forward contract because the forward price will not change.

解释:

Solution
  1. A is incorrect because if the trader expects the future spot rate to be above that predicted by the existing forward rate, then the forward contract value is expected to decrease and the trader would sell the forward contract.

  2. B is correct because if a trader expects the future spot rate to be below what is predicted by the prevailing forward rate, the forward contract value is expected to increase and the trader would buy the forward contract.

  3. C is incorrect because the forward contract price remains unchanged as long as future spot rates evolve as predicted by today’s forward curve.

The Term Structure and Interest Rate Dynamics
  • describe the assumptions concerning the evolution of spot rates in relation to forward rates implicit in active bond portfolio management

具体的逻辑是什么

1 个答案

吴昊_品职助教 · 2025年05月19日

嗨,努力学习的PZer你好:


这道题考查的是future spot rate和forward rate的对比。

future spot rate是到了将来,市场上的即期利率是多少。current forward rate是隐含在现在的spot rate中的远期利率。

现在题目中future spot rate低于forward rate。future spot rate<forward rate,表明forward price隐含的未来折现率高了,未来债券的价格被低估了(用了更大的折现率),基于低买高卖,所以现在要买入forward contract(选B)

反之亦然。

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