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mino酱是个小破货 · 2025年05月09日

是否可以仍选B?谢谢

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NO.PZ201601050100001601

问题如下:

Which of the following positions would best mitigate Ahlim’s concern regarding the purchase of his vacation home in six months?

选项:

A.

Sell an at-the-money six-month BRL/USD call option.

B.

Purchase an at-the-money six-month USD/BRL put option.

C.

Take a short position in a six-month BRL/USD futures contract.

解释:

B is correct.

Ahlim could mitigate the risk of the Brazilian real weakening against the US dollar over the next six months by (1) purchasing an at-the money six-month BRL/USD call option (to buy US dollars), (2) purchasing an at-the-money six-month USD/BRL put option (to sell Brazilian reals), or (3) taking a long position in a six-month BRL/USD futures contract (to buy US dollars).

Purchasing an at-the-money six-month USD/BRL put option (to sell Brazilian reals) would mitigate the risk of a weakening Brazilian real. If the Brazilian real should weaken against the US dollar over the next six months, Ahlim could exercise the put option and sell his Brazilian reals at the contract’s strike rate (which would have been the prevailing market exchange rate at the time of purchase, since the option is at the money).

A is incorrect because purchasing (not selling) an at-the-money six-month BRL/USD call option (to buy US dollars) would mitigate the risk of the Brazilian real weakening against the US dollar over the next six months. The long call position would give Ahlim the right to buy US dollars (and sell Brazilian reals). A call on US dollars is similar to a put on Brazilian reals. So, a put to sell Brazilian reals at a given strike rate can be viewed as a call to buy US dollars.

C is incorrect because going long (not short) a six-month BRL/USD futures contract (to buy US dollars) would mitigate the risk of the Brazilian real weakening against the US dollar over the next six months. A long futures position would obligate Ahlim to buy US dollars (and sell Brazilian reals) at the futures contract rate.

中文解析:

背景是继承了一笔BRL的资产,想要6个月后用这笔钱在美国购买一栋住宅。因此担心BRL贬值,对应的就是担心USD升值。

担心BRL贬值,则应该long put on USD/BRL,或者short forward on USD/BRL。

从担心USD升值的角度,则应该long call on BRL/USD,或者long forward on BRL/USD。

注意不论汇率的表达形式是怎样的,记住我们研究的只是位于分母位置的币种。

如果take a long forward position on BRL/USD position,不考虑初始成本,B更好,谢谢老师。

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Lucky_品职助教 · 2025年05月12日

嗨,爱思考的PZer你好:


如果只考虑 take a long forward position on BRL/USD position且不考虑初始成本,选项 B仍然是更好的选择。

买入 BRL/USD 远期合约多头头寸,意味着在 6 个月后必须按照约定汇率买入美元、卖出巴西雷亚尔。无论 6 个月后汇率实际情况如何,都得履行这份合约。要是到时候巴西雷亚尔没有贬值,甚至升值了,投资者也得按合约以相对不利的汇率进行交易,无法享受汇率有利变动带来的好处。而购买 USD/BRL 看跌期权,投资者有权利而非义务在到期时按执行价格卖出巴西雷亚尔。当巴西雷亚尔贬值,投资者可以选择行权,按约定价格卖出巴西雷亚尔来减少损失;要是巴西雷亚尔升值,投资者可以选择不行权,仅损失期权费,保留了从汇率有利变动中获利的机会 ,比远期合约更灵活。


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虽然现在很辛苦,但努力过的感觉真的很好,加油!

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