NO.PZ2024092001000043
问题如下:
An analyst gathers the following data for a potential short-term investment:
Over the next year, if uncovered interest rate parity holds, the NZD is expected to appreciate
选项:
A.1.25%
B.2.00% C.2.25%解释:
A Correct because if the uncovered interest rate parity holds the expected change in the spot exchange rate over the investment horizon should be reflected in the interest rate differential:
7.50% – 6.25% = 1.25%
A 选项正确,因为若无抛补利率平价(Uncovered Interest Rate Parity, UIP)成立,投资期限内即期汇率的预期变动率应等于两国利差:
=if−id=7.50%−6.25%=1.25%
根据 UIP 理论,投资者承担汇率风险时,更高的外国利率(7.50%)应被预期的本币升值(或外币贬值)所抵消,最终使国内外投资的预期收益相等。题目中直接通过利差计算预期汇率变动,符合 UIP 的核心逻辑(预期汇率变动率等于利差),因此 A 选项正确。
rx-ry只能是约等于吧