NO.PZ202405210200000202
问题如下:
A limitation of the econometric model approach for forecasting that Clark might conclude is:
选项:
A.Past forecast errors can be ignored as an additional explanatory variable into the model.
B.Econometric models require the user to find adequate measures (which may be unavailable) for the real-world activities and relationships to be modeled.
C.Relationships among the variables rarely, if ever, change over time because of changes in economic structure and/or because the model may have been based on faulty assumptions as to how the economy works.
解释:
Econometric models require the user to find adequate measures (which may be unavailable) for the real-world activities and relationships to be modeled.
Answer Choice (A) is incorrect. Past forecast errors are incorporated into the model as an additional explanatory variable. Answer Choice (C) is also incorrect. Relationships among the variables may change over time because of changes in economic structure and/or because the model may have been based on faulty assumptions as to how the economy works.
计量经济学模型要求使用者为需要建模的现实经济活动及关系找到恰当的衡量指标(这些指标可能并不存在)。
选项(A)错误:过去的预测误差被作为额外解释变量纳入模型。选项(C)错误:由于经济结构的变化,或模型可能基于对经济运行机制的错误假设,变量间的关系可能随时间改变。
烦请老师指教,感觉很奇怪,估计误差怎么能做自变量去解释model呢?谢谢