NO.PZ2023040502000045
问题如下:
Luke examines West Texas Intermediate (WTI) monthly crudeoil price data, expressed in US dollars per barrel, for the 181-month period fromAugust 2000 through August 2015.
Based on the data for the AR(1) model( the critical value is 1.97), he can concludethat the:
选项:
A.
residuals are not serially correlated.
B.
autocorrelations do not differ significantly from zero.
C.
standard error for each of the autocorrelations is0.0745.
解释:
The standard error of the autocorrelations iscalculated as , where Trepresents the number of observations used in the regression. Therefore, thestandard error for each of the autocorrelations is
= 0.0745.Martinezcan conclude that the residuals are serially correlated and are significantlydifferent from zero because two of the four autocorrelations in Exhibit 2 havea t-statistic in absolute value that is greater than the critical value of1.97.
Choices A and B areincorrect because two of the four autocorrelations have at-statistic inabsolute value that is greater than the critical value of the t-statistic of1.97.
C选项说,所有自相关的标准误都是一样的,用根号下180的倒数计算出来的。我的问题是lag1和Lag4的标准误为什么都是一样的?lag4的标准误计算应该用180-4呀