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椰子鸡 · 2025年03月23日

这道题 不用算吗

* 问题详情,请 查看题干

NO.PZ201812310200000201

问题如下:

The most appropriate response to Kowalski’s question regarding credit rating migration is that it has:

选项:

A.

a negative impact.

B.

no impact.

C.

a positive impact.

解释:

A is correct. Credit spread migration typically reduces the expected return for two reasons. First, the probabilities for rating changes are not symmetrically distributed around the current rating; they are skewed toward a downgrade rather than an upgrade. Second, the increase in the credit spread is much larger for downgrades than is the decrease in the spread for upgrades.

就是用他给的表格里的数字,算出来是正的还是负的,才能判断到底是 nagative 还是postive的影响吧。

1 个答案

吴昊_品职助教 · 2025年03月24日

嗨,爱思考的PZer你好:


这道题可以不用计算,直接从表格中得出定性结论。

1、先看概率,评级上调的概率低于下调的概率。

2、然后,评级下调的spread改变幅度大于评级上调的spread改变幅度。信用风险下跌所增加的spread要比上涨时减少的spread来的更多。

因此可以直接得出结论是负的。

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