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mino酱是个小破货 · 2025年03月02日

烦请老师帮忙看下是否可以这么回答,谢谢老师

NO.PZ2018120301000038

问题如下:

After selecting a portfolio to immunize Schuylkill’s multiple future outflows, Chaopraya prepares a report on how this immunization strategy would respond to various interest rate scenarios. The scenario analysis is presented in Exhibit 3.


Discuss the effectiveness of Chaopraya’s immunization strategy in terms of duration gaps.

选项:

解释:

Correct Answer:

Chaopraya’s strategy immunizes well for parallel shifts, with little deviation between the outflow portfolio and the immunizing portfolio in market value and BPV. Because the money durations are closely matched, the differences between the outflow portfolio and the immunizing portfolio in market value are small and the duration gaps (as shown by the difference in Δ Portfolio BPVs) between the outflow portfolio and the immunizing portfolio are small for both the upward and downward parallel shifts.

Chaopraya’s strategy does not immunize well for the non-parallel steepening and flattening twists (i.e., structural risks) shown in Exhibit 3. In those cases, the outflow portfolio and the immunizing portfolio market values deviate substantially and the duration gaps between the outflow portfolio and the immunizing portfolio are large.

Chaopraya’s immunization strategy is effectively immunized by parallel shift, but not immunized by nonparallel shift.In non-parallel shift, the duration gap is larger than parallel shift.

1 个答案

发亮_品职助教 · 2025年03月03日

差不多正确,有一处要补充。

下面这个结论完全正确:

Chaopraya’s immunization strategy is effectively immunized by parallel shift, but not immunized by nonparallel shift.


下面这个说法不完整,需要补充:

In non-parallel shift, the duration gap is larger than parallel shift.


For the non-parallel shift, the market value changes in liabilities substantially differ from those of assets, and the duration gap between assets and liabilities is large.


这道题就是让检验一下,构建好的duration-matching免疫效果如何。

检验免疫效果,就是看一下利率曲线移动时,资产与负债的market value变动是否一致/同步,如果一致,就说明免疫效果好。如果不同,就说明匹配效果较差。

所以重点是要关注资产与负债的market value改变是否一样。


所以这道题的答案就说一下,在平行移动时,资产与负债的market value变动同步,免疫效果好。在非平行移动时,market value变动差异大,免疫效果差。


至于利率变动后,资产与负债的duration是否一样、duration gap是变大还是变小,这个无法检验免疫效果是否成功。因为在duration matching里,是保证资产与负债的market value变动同步,对duration的变动没有要求。


所以回复的时候,要回复到market value的改变程度。但这道题题目有点问题,题目让从duration gap角度说一下,答案就要顺带说一下duration gap。

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