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Cooljas · 2025年03月01日

每个选项可以再具体解释下吗?

NO.PZ2023091802000013

问题如下:

A portfolio manager of a merger arbitrage fund is reviewing a pending acquisition, in which Company STZ has offered to pay 1/3 of a share of its stock for every share of Company ACQ. The stock of company STZ is currently trading at CNY 30 per share and the stock of company ACQ is currently trading at CNY 9 per share. The manager believes with a high level of certainty that the acquisition will be completed. Which of the following trades would be most appropriate for the manager to establish to reflect this view?

选项:

A.

Take a leveraged long position in 100,000 call options on Company ACQ.

B.

Buy 100,000 shares of Company ACQ and short 30,000 shares of Company STZ.

C.

Buy 30,000 shares of Company STZ and short 100,000 shares of Company ACQ.

D.

Sell 100,000 puts on Company ACQ with a strike of CNY 9 and buy 30,000 calls on Company STZ with a strike of CNY 30.

解释:

B is correct. In a merger arbitrage transaction on a share-based exchange, the manager should go long the undervalued target and go short the acquirer if they believe the acquisition will be completed. In this case, STZ is paying a third of a share for each share of ACQ, which would imply a price of 10 per share instead of 9. Therefore, the manager should purchase an amount of ACQ shares and short an equal monetary value of STZ shares, and will profit when the relative value of an ACQ share rises from 0.3 per share now to 0.333 share as the acquisition is completed.

A is incorrect. Going straight long options on ACQ would leave the manager open to a drop in the price of STZ or a delay in the transaction.

C is incorrect. This reverses the transaction and is the trade the manager should put on if they feel the transaction will not go through and the risk of it breaking is not fully priced in by the market.

D is incorrect. This trade does not capture the arbitrage spread, as the calls go into the money as STZ rises while the puts will get put if ACQ falls. Since both of these events are not exclusive, the trader could wind up with long exposure on both sides.



1 个答案

李坏_品职助教 · 2025年03月01日

嗨,努力学习的PZer你好:


​并购套利的核心操作:

在换股收购中,套利者应该买入目标公司的股票(ACQ)​​ 并 ​做空收购公司的股票(STZ)​。

根据题目,STZ 以 1/3 股自身股票换取 1 股 ACQ。若交易完成,ACQ 股价应趋近于 STZ 股价的 1/3(即 30 × 1/3 = 10 CNY),而当前 ACQ 股价为 9 CNY,存在套利空间。


A. 杠杆做多 100,000 份 ACQ 看涨期权​

​错误原因:

看涨期权仅能押注股价上涨,但未对冲 STZ 股价波动风险。若并购失败,股价可能暴跌,期权价值归零,导致重大损失。此外,并购套利强调锁定价差,而非单纯方向性押注。


C. 买入 30,000 股 STZ 并做空 100,000 股 ACQ​

​错误原因:

操作方向完全相反。若并购成功,ACQ 股价将上涨,做空 ACQ 会导致亏损;同时 STZ 股价可能因稀释效应下跌,做多 STZ 也会亏损。此策略与套利逻辑相悖。


D. 卖出 ACQ 行权价 9 CNY 的看跌期权 + 买入 STZ 行权价 30 CNY 的看涨期权​

​错误原因:

该组合策略包含了不必要的风险:

卖出看跌期权(Short Put)相当于承担 ACQ 股价下跌风险。

买入看涨期权(Long Call)仅押注 STZ 股价上涨,但并购后 STZ 股价大概率会下跌。


B选项是正确的,买入 100,000 股 ACQ 并做空 30,000 股 STZ,符合并购套利的要求:买入目标公司的股票(ACQ)​​ 并 ​做空收购公司的股票(STZ)​。比例匹配:100,000 股 ACQ 对应需 100,000 × (1/3) = 33,333 股 STZ,选项 B 中的 30,000 股是因为整数简化或对冲比例微调,不影响策略逻辑。

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