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灰飞翔的猫 · 2025年02月09日

题干

NO.PZ2023010401000112

问题如下:

When the spread between 10-year U.S. Treasury yields and the federal funds rate narrows and at the same time the prime rate stays unchanged, this mix of indicators most likely forecasts future economic:

选项:

A.growth.

B.decline.

C.stability.

解释:

The narrowing spread of this leading indicator foretells a drop in short-term rates and a fall in economic activity. The prime rate is a lagging indicator and typically moves after the economy turns.

中文解析:

这一领先指标息差的收窄预示着短期利率的下降和经济活动的减少。最优惠利率是一个滞后指标,通常在经济好转后才会变动。

想问下题干里说的Federal fund rate是短期利率么?和10年期国债利率比收窄,为什么解析里说的是短期利率下降?不应该是短期利率上升长期利率下降才会收窄么?

1 个答案

品职助教_七七 · 2025年02月09日

嗨,爱思考的PZer你好:


解析里说的是收窄预示着(foretells)短期利率会下降。不是当下短期利率就下降。

预示短期利率下降这个结论是没问题的。

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