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苏·Xu · 2025年01月15日

衍生

NO.PZ2018062007000030

问题如下:

When interest rates and futures prices are negatively correlated, futures prices will be:

选项:

A.

lower than forwards.

B.

the same as forwards

C.

higher than forwards.

解释:

A is correct.

If futures prices and interest rates are negatively correlated, the futures prices increase as interest rates decrease, which lead to long position receives cash earlier and reinvests it at lower rate. Under this situation, investors prefer forward contracts because all profits are received at the end of contract, therefore forward price is higher.

当期货合约价格与利率负相关时,其每日结算出的收益通过再投资获得的收益要小于远期,因而期货价格会略低。

利率不是固定的吗?期货用这样的利率,远期也是同样的利率啊,市场上使用的利率不一样吗?

1 个答案

李坏_品职助教 · 2025年01月15日

嗨,从没放弃的小努力你好:


这个是在问你,当利率与价格负相关的时候,期货与远期合约谁高谁低。


当利率与价格negatively correlated的时候,对于做多期货(long futures)的人来说,期货价格上升会赚钱,此时利率却在下降。期货的持有者如果把账户里的钱拿出来,只能按照更低的利率进行再投资;反过来,当做多期货的人亏钱时(此时期货价格下跌,利率上升),却要以更高的利率去融资补充保证金。


而远期合约(long forward)却没有这个劣势,所以此时forward更占优势,forward price >futures price。


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2023-01-20 12:34 1 · 回答

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2022-05-21 14:27 1 · 回答

老师,能不能麻烦下这道题,为什么利率会导致yuanqi远期合约和期货不同呢?    

2019-12-05 16:26 1 · 回答

这个题干逻辑上说不通吧,利率怎么能跟期货反相关呢?利率上升,期货应该更值钱,这不是正相关么?谢谢老师

2019-05-05 18:32 1 · 回答