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Roseline · 2018年10月16日

问一道题:NO.PZ2018091702000012 [ CFA III ]

问题如下图:

选项:

A.

B.

C.

解释:

A答案,想听听老师怎么理解,我选A主要是考虑到bias的分类里面,并没有这个分类。且我觉得Linda认为根据自己以往的投资经验,不应该underperform,所以也应该有representativeness bias。

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已采纳答案

Shimin_CPA税法主讲、CFA教研 · 2018年10月18日

illusion of knowledge和self-attribution都从属于overconfidence bias(基础班讲义94页)。这个人高估了自己的决策能力,并且把失败归咎于他人,所以overconfidence bias这两项都占了。

representativeness会有处理新信息这样一个过程,在面对这个新信息时,她用以前的经验对待现在的问题,没有分析一下目前的经济环境是否还适用之前的套路。仅仅说以前业绩好,现在也会继续好,不能称为representativeness,更多的还是对自己过于自信。

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