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椰子鸡 · 2025年01月06日

ERP是市场风险溢价

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NO.PZ202210140200000102

问题如下:

The events of 2012 to 2016 would be expected to:

选项:

A.

bias the historical ERP estimate upward

B.

bias the historical ERP estimate downward

C.

have no effect on the historical ERP estimate

解释:

B is correct. The events of Year 12 through Year 16 depressed share returns but (1) are not a persistent feature of the stock market environment, (2) were not offset by other positive events within the historical record, and (3) have led to relatively low valuation levels, which are expected to rebound.

12 到 16年发生战乱,

会让12 到16年的投资者更不愿意来这边投资,除非提供更高的风险溢价。

这样的话12到16年的ERP就偏高。

导致所有的平均就bias偏高了。


这么理解有啥问题

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