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一只🐶哆啦 · 2024年11月05日

老师,所有其他人的问题还有之前的解答我都看过了,还是有个问题

NO.PZ2020012005000020

问题如下:

If a stock index, interest rate, and dividend yield remain constant, derive a formula for the futures price at time t in terms of the futures price at time zero. Suppose that the risk-free rate is 5% per year and the dividend yield on an index is 3% per year. If the stock index stays constant, at what rate does the futures price grow? (All rates are expressed with annual compounding.)

选项:

解释:

The relationship between the futures price, Ft, at time t and the spot price is:

Ft=S(1+R1+Q)Tt=S(1+R1+Q)T(1+Q1+R)t=F0(1+Q1+R)tF_t=S(\frac{1+R}{1+Q})^{T-t}=S(\frac{1+R}{1+Q})^T(\frac{1+Q}{1+R})^t=F_0(\frac{1+Q}{1+R})^t

where S, R, and Q are the index level, risk-free rate, and dividend yield, respectively and T is the initial time to maturity. This shows that the futures price grows at:

(1 + Q)/( 1 + R)- 1

When R = 5% and Q = 3%, the growth rate of the futures price per year is

(1 + Q)/( 1 + R)- 1=1.03/1.05-1=-0.019

or -1.9%.


咱们这个题滴哩咕噜说了一大堆,是不是就是在说三个时间点的关系


分别是0时刻,现货时刻(S表示的)

F小t时刻的价格

F大T终值时刻(蓝色F0吗)


根据正常公式应该是rf在Q(dividend)头上,但是最后



Q跑到R头上去了,

所以是否蓝色F0 代表F大T时刻的价值,逆向复利t回来了t时刻?

字母有点乱,我看不太懂了,很迷茫,麻烦解答一下我的理解思路是否有问题

反正这个题目就是问中间的小t时刻的期货价值定价计算呗,绿色框框内的推导,最后一步我不太懂是干嘛的了。谢谢老师

1 个答案
已采纳答案

pzqa27 · 2024年11月05日

嗨,爱思考的PZer你好:


所以是否蓝色F0 代表F大T时刻的价值

价格和价值对于forward 合约来说是2个概念,不可以混用,F0代表的是0时刻签订合约,T时候到期时的执行价格,它不是价值。



所以是否蓝色F0 代表F大T时刻的价值,逆向复利t回来了t时刻?

绿色框里的这个它=F0,这个就是根据forward 定价公式来的,它代表0时候签订合约的forward价格,至于蓝色那部分的式子,它只是数学上的恒等变形,没有什么实际的意义。为的是找到F0和Ft的钩稽关系。因为题目问的是”what rate does the futures price grow? “这里只是单纯找到Ft和F0的关系,这个关系只适用于这个题目,并不具备广泛性。

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