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Amy-Lily · 2024年10月22日

老师好,这道题可以讲一下知识点吗?这三个选项不太会区分,谢谢。

NO.PZ2024022701000069

问题如下:

A firm reports negative earnings for the year just ended. The price multiple of the firm’s stock that is least likely to be meaningful is:

选项:

A.trailing price to earnings. B.price to cash flow. C.leading price to earnings.

解释:

Solution
  1. Correct. Negative earnings in the last year result in a negative ratio of trailing price to earnings and are not meaningful. Practitioners may use the ratio of (1) current price to cash flow or (2) leading price to earnings by replacing last year’s loss with forecasted earnings.

  2. Incorrect. Alternative to negative trailing price-to-earnings ratio, practitioners may use price-to-cash-flow ratio because it is possible cash flow would be positive in spite of a small loss.

  3. Incorrect. Alternative to negative trailing price-to-earnings ratio, practitioners may use leading price-to-earnings ratio by replacing last year’s loss with forecasted earnings which may be positive.

Equity Valuation: Concepts and Basic Tools

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王园圆_品职助教 · 2024年10月22日

同学你好,首先,本题考察的是一个结论,即“P/E不可以是负数”

为什么?因为earnings如果是负数,那EPS就是负数,

从经济学原理上,P/E是指投资者为了每获得一块钱的公司净收益而愿意支付的价格。如果EPS是负数,那P/E就也是负数,岂不是含义变成了投资者为了每获得一块钱的公司损失而愿意让公司欠投资者的钱??是不是毫无道理?所以EPS是负数的时候不能使用P/E

然后看本题,本题说公司报告了一个负数的EPS,

A.trailing P/E 就是用公司过去的EPS作为分母的P/E,带入负数EPS就会违背上面的原理,所以A的P/E就是无意义的,选A

B. P/CF题目只是说EPS是负数,没有说公司现金流是负数,所以不能说P/CF是无意义的,B错

C.leading P/E 是用公司未来的EPS作为分母。公司过去的EPS是负数——但是这不代表公司未来的EPS也是负数,所以我们不能认为leading P/E一定是负数,所以C也不能选

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