NO.PZ2024042601000014
问题如下:
Analyst Greg is employing the Merton model to both value a firm’s equity and estimate a physical default probability. He has collected the following information:
•The firm’s default threshold one year forward is $10 million; e.g., face value of short-term debt is $10 million.
•The firm current asset value is $12.75 million with an expected return of 8% per annum with continuous compounding
•The volatility of the firm’s assets is 9.6%
•The risk-free rate is 2%
His exercise includes two components: one, valuation of the firm’s equity market value by treating equity as a call option on the firm’s assets; two, estimate of default probability by calculation of a forward distance to default. Greg makes two assumptions:
I. An increase in the risk-free rate will increase an estimate of the firm’s current equity market value, and
II. An increase in the risk-free rate will decrease the estimated default probability.
Which of Greg’s two assumptions is correct?
选项:
A.Neither
I only
II only
Both
解释:
Just as an increase in the risk-free rate increases the value of a call option, an increase in the risk-free rate increases the equity value under Merton. However, the risk-free rate has no impact on the Merton PD; the physical drift of 8% is used in that application.
还请详细讲一下解析,我理解这两个选项都是不对的