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华赞 · 2024年10月15日

如何分析

NO.PZ2023091802000034

问题如下:

Pear, Inc. is a manufacturer that is heavily dependent on plastic parts shipped from Malaysia. Pear wants to hedge its exposure to plastic price shocks over the next 7 ½ months. Futures contracts, however, are not readily available for plastic. After some research, Pear identifies futures contracts on other commodities whose prices are closely correlated to plastic prices. Futures on Commodity A have a correlation of 0.85 with the price of plastic, and futures on Commodity B have a correlation of 0.92 with the price of plastic. Futures on both Commodity A and Commodity B are available with 6-month and 9-month expirations. Ignoring liquidity considerations, which contract would be the best to minimize basis risk?

选项:

A.

Futures on Commodity A with 6 months to expiration

B.

Futures on Commodity A with 9 months to expiration

C.

Futures on Commodity B with 6 months to expiration

D.

Futures on Commodity B with 9 months to expiration

解释:

In order to minimize basis risk, one should choose the futures contract with the highest correlation to price changes, and the one with the closest maturity, preferably expiring after the duration of the hedge.

该题的closest maturity 怎么判断

1 个答案

李坏_品职助教 · 2024年10月15日

嗨,爱思考的PZer你好:


题目说:Pear wants to hedge its exposure to plastic price shocks over the next 7 ½ months.


也就是期限是7.5个月。在选择期货合约进行对冲时,如果无法精确匹配期限,必须选择大于当前期限的合约。也就是选9个月的Futures。由于品种B的相关系数更高,所以选9个月的品种B。D选项正确。

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