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🐚 · 2024年09月29日

请帮忙看一下我的思路是否正确

NO.PZ2023052407000011

问题如下:

The current exchange rate between the euro and US dollar is USD/EUR1.025. Risk-free interest rates for one year are 0.75 percent for the euro and 3.25 percent for the US dollar. The one-year USD/EUR forward rate that best prevents arbitrage opportunities is:

选项:

A.

USD/EUR1.051

B.

USD/EUR1.025

C.

USD/EUR0.975

解释:

A is correct. To avoid arbitrage opportunities in exchanging euros and US dollars, investors must be able to lock in a one-year forward exchange rate of USD/EUR1.051 today. The solution methodology is shown below.

In one year, a single unit of euro invested risk-free is worth EUR1.0075 (=e0.0075).

In one year, a single unit of euro converted to US dollars and then invested risk-free is worth USD1.0589 (=1.025*e0.0325).

To convert USD1.0589 into EUR1.0075 requires a forward exchange rate of USD/EUR1.051 (=1.0589/1.0075).

除了直接算,我选的时候是通过现在euro的rf借款利率低,所以要借euro去美国投资,得到更大的收益。但是题目问的是无套利,所以一年后在美国赚到的更多的钱需要通过更高的usd/eur去换回euro。所以要选比1.025更大的1.051. 这样的思路是正确的吗

1 个答案

袁园_品职助教 · 2024年09月30日

嗨,从没放弃的小努力你好:


是的,您的思路正确。借入欧元并在美国投资的确会产生更高收益,因此需要更高的 USD/EUR 汇率(1.051)来避免套利机会。

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虽然现在很辛苦,但努力过的感觉真的很好,加油!

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