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皓月 · 2024年09月04日

Cambo bases her equity market forecast on a time-series model us

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  2. Capital Market Expectations

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NO.PZ202105270100000203

问题如下：

Cambo compares her business cycle forecasting approach to the approach used by the chief economist. Cambo bases her equity market forecast on a time-series model using a composite index of leading indicators as the key input, whereas the chief economist uses a detailed econometric model to generate his economic forecasts.

Discuss strengths and weaknesses of the economic forecasting approaches used by Cambo and the chief economist.


选项：

解释：

我的理解是Cambo用了数量模型和LEI模型的结合，所以讨论优缺点时两者都要有吧。

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笛子_品职助教 · 2024年09月04日

嗨，努力学习的PZer你好：


我的理解是Cambo用了数量模型和LEI模型的结合，所以讨论优缺点时两者都要有吧。

Hello，亲爱的同学~

我们看文中信息点：

Cambo bases her equity market forecast on a time-series model using a composite index of leading indicators as the key input, whereas the chief economist uses a detailed econometric model


这句话的意思是：Cambo使用了LEI。chief economist使用了数量模型。


所以具体到Cambo，只需要写LEI的优缺点，不需要写数量模型的优缺点。

讨论到chief economist的时候，再写数量模型的优缺点。



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