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cenwandada · 2024年08月08日

为啥C不对呢,石油下降他的货币购买力也不行了吧

NO.PZ2023102301000032

问题如下:

A country with a developed economy maintains its own currency, NLC, and has domestically produced oil and natural gas as its most important exports. In a recent stress test of the country’s banking system, several scenarios were considered. Which of the following is most consistent with being part of a coherent scenario?

选项:

A.An increase in domestic inflation and appreciation of the NLC

B.A significant increase in crude oil prices and a decrease in the country housing price index

C.A drop in crude oil prices and appreciation of the NLC

D.A sustained decrease in natural gas prices and a decrease in the country’s stock index

解释:

A scenario is coherent when a change in one factor influences other factors in a logical manner. In this case, choice d is a coherent scenario since the country’s economy depends heavily on exports of oil and natural gas, so therefore a sustained decrease in natural gas prices should lead to a decrease in stock prices as the domestic economy weakens. In stress testing banks, it is often challenging to develop scenarios where all factors behave coherently.

为啥C不对呢,石油下降他的货币购买力也不行了吧

1 个答案

pzqa39 · 2024年08月08日

嗨,努力学习的PZer你好:


在C选项中,原油价格下跌和NLC升值的同时发生是不一致的,甚至是矛盾的。因为当原油价格下跌时,该国的经济状况恶化,通常会导致其货币贬值,而不是升值。

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虽然现在很辛苦,但努力过的感觉真的很好,加油!

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