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梦梦 · 2024年08月05日

P(X-x)是什么意思?

NO.PZ2020010302000010

问题如下:

Suppose the return on an asset has the following distribution:

a. Compute the mean, variance, and standard deviation.

b. Verify your result in (a) by computing E[X2]E[X^2] directly and using the alternative expression for the variance.

c. Is this distribution skewed?

d. Does this distribution have excess kurtosis? e. What is the median of this distribution?

解释:

a. The mean is E[X] = Σx Pr(X = x) = 0.25%.

The variance is Var[X]=Σ(xE[X])2Pr(X=x)=0.000555Var[X] = Σ(x - E[X])^2 Pr(X = x) = 0.000555.

The standard deviation is Var[X]=2.355\sqrt {Var[X]} = 2.355%.

b. E[X2]=Σx2Pr(X=x)=.000561E[X^2] = Σx^2 Pr(X = x) = .000561 and so E[X2](E[X])2=0.000561(.0025)2=.000555E[X^2] - (E[X])^2 = 0.000561 - (.0025)^2 = .000555, which is the same.

c. The skewness requires computing

skew(X)=E[XE[X]]3/σ3=E[(Xμσ)3]=Σ(xμσ)3Pr(Xx)skew(X)=E[X-E[X]]^3/{\sigma^3}=E[(\frac{X-\mu}{\sigma})^3]=Σ(\frac{x-\mu}{\sigma})^3Pr(X-x)

Thus the skewness is 0.021, and the distribution has a mild positive skew.

d. The kurtosis requires computing

kurtosis(X)=E[(XE[X])4]σ4=E[(Xμσ)4]=Σ(xμσ)4Pr(Xx)kurtosis(X)=\frac{E[(X-E[X])^4]}{\sigma^4}=E[(\frac{X-\mu}{\sigma})^4]=Σ(\frac{x-\mu}{\sigma})^4Pr(X-x)

Thus the kurtosis is 2.24. The excess kurtosis is then 2.24 - 3 = -0.76. This distribution does not have excess kurtosis.

e. The median is the value where at least 50% probability lies to the left, and at least 50% probability lies to the right. Cumulating the probabilities into a CDF, this occurs at the return value of 0%.

1、老师,第一个和第二个红框是啥意思啊?

2、为啥当X=0时,累积概率是52%,中位数不用线性插值法或者求X=0和X=-1的平均数呢?考试如果也是离散分布,累计概率超过50%,中位数也是取能概率一直累积超过50%的那个数?

3 个答案
已采纳答案

pzqa39 · 2024年08月07日

嗨,努力学习的PZer你好:


或者你可以这样去理解,从0.38到0.52这个区域,全都属于0的范围,50%落在这个范围里。每个数字相当于占有一个区域,50%这一刀切在哪个数字的区域上,中位数就是多少。

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努力的时光都是限量版,加油!

梦梦 · 2024年08月07日

好吧,谢谢老师

梦梦 · 2024年08月07日

一般怎么问就是考中位数的线性插值法?

pzqa39 · 2024年08月07日

嗨,爱思考的PZer你好:


中位数不需要线性插值法来找呀,没有这样的例子

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虽然现在很辛苦,但努力过的感觉真的很好,加油!

梦梦 · 2024年08月07日

哦,好滴,谢谢

pzqa39 · 2024年08月06日

嗨,从没放弃的小努力你好:


1、没有见过这样的数学表述,在原版书里找了一下,这里应该是X=x,也就是X=x时的概率。不过这里的计算不用去掌握,考试不太可能在这里考计算。

2、是的,中位数就是处于中间位置的数,就是求从小到大(或者从大到小都行)50%的累计概率时的数值。

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虽然现在很辛苦,但努力过的感觉真的很好,加油!

梦梦 · 2024年08月06日

如果超过50了呢?也直接就选择这个数?这题就超过了

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