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albee · 2024年07月28日

为什么estimated return小于expected return on CAPM就是被高估了?

NO.PZ2015121802000041

问题如下:

A stock with beta of 1.5 is selling for $20 and pay $1 dividend at year end, if the price should be $21 at year end. The stock is undervalued or overvalued? Assuming the risk-free rate is 5%, expected market premium is 5%.

选项:

A.

The stock is undervalued, investor should buy it.

B.

The sotck is overvalued, investor should short it.

C.

The sotck is undervalued, investor should short it.

解释:

B is correct.

Expected return on CAPM = 5 + 1.5 * 5= 12.5%

Estimated return on stock = (21 - 20 + 1) / 20 = 10%

The estimated return is less than expected return on CAPM, indicating that the stock is overvalued, investor should short it.

麻烦具体讲一下这中间的分析过程

1 个答案
已采纳答案

Kiko_品职助教 · 2024年07月29日

嗨,努力学习的PZer你好:


CAPM计算出来的结果是合理预期收益率,而实际上这只股票根据市场情况估算出来的收益率更小,说明实际价格是更高的(收益率跟价格是成反比的)所以是被高估的,应该卖掉。

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