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176****1226 · 2024年07月25日

知识点理解

NO.PZ2024010503000017

问题如下:

The term “dismal theorem” refers to the idea that:

选项:

A.potentially catastrophic outcomes should be valued to negative infinity. B.moral considerations related to future climate change warrant low discount rates. C.the probability of total civilizational collapse causes the discount rate to increase dramatically.

解释:

A is correct. The dismal theorem suggests that standard cost–benefit analysis is inadequate to deal with the potential downside losses from climate change. However small the probability, as long as we cannot completely rule out scenarios of climate-induced civilizational collapse, their expected value must be thought of as being equal to negative infinity. Economist Nicholas Stern argued that moral considerations warrant using a low discount rate when assessing future climate damages to place adequate value on the lives and welfare of future generations.

The term “dismal theorem” refers to the idea that:

A

potentially catastrophic outcomes should be valued to negative infinity.

B

moral considerations related to future climate change warrant low discount rates.

C

the probability of total civilizational collapse causes the discount rate to increase dramatically.


B和C说的是否正确呢,不从题目本身来考虑

1 个答案

pzqa38 · 2024年07月25日

嗨,努力学习的PZer你好:


B不对,如果考虑到气候变化等因素的话,折现率应该更高才对。

C的描述正确,只不过不符合“dismal theorem”。考虑到气候变化带来的灾难性影响,折现率就是要变大的。

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