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SHAO · 2024年07月19日

老师能不能讲解一下这道题

NO.PZ2023040601000072

问题如下:

Exhibit 1 provides some key points for the countries Morgan will be writing about in this week's economic update. Morgan discusses with Chan what these factors indicate about each country’s economic cycle and how they affect policy interest rates and fixed-income markets.


Based on the information in Exhibit 1, which country should most likely have a policy rate above the neutral rate?

选项:

A.

Japan

B.

United Kingdom

C.

Switzerland

解释:

A is correct. Japan is experiencing a positive output gap and an aggregate increase in borrowing. These factors are consistent with an economy that is producing beyond its sustainable capacity. As such, the appropriate policy rate should be above the neutral rate.

B is incorrect because inflation expectations have become more volatile, and equity risk premiums are increasing rapidly. These factors are not associated with an economy that is producing beyond its sustainable capacity.

C is incorrect because individuals have increased their marginal utility from consumption, and consumers have reduced borrowing levels. These factors are more likely associated with an economy that is producing below its sustainable capacity.

什么是政策利率,什么是中性利率,怎么判断哪国政策利率比中性利率大呢?

1 个答案
已采纳答案

品职助教_七七 · 2024年07月20日

嗨,努力学习的PZer你好:


中性利率(neutral rate):既不刺激,也不紧缩经济的利率。

目标利率(policy rate):央行根据经济实际情况用来调节经济的利率。

两个利率之间的关系根据Taylor rule来进行判断。如下图公式,如果经济中通货膨胀率π大于目标通货膨胀率π*,或者经济过热(y大于y*,positive output gap)。则可知policy rate大于等式右侧neutral rate。


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努力的时光都是限量版,加油!