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506623496 · 2024年07月16日

hot money

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NO.PZ202105270100000505

问题如下:

Based on Bader’s expectations for current account secular trends as shown in Exhibit 1, Bader should reallocate capital, all else being equal, from:

选项:

A.Country A to Country C.

B.Country B to Country A.

C.Country C to Country A.

解释:

A is correct.

Bader should reallocate capital from Country A, which is expected to have a secularly rising current account deficit, to Country C, which is expected to have a secularly rising current account surplus. A rising current account deficit will tend to put upward pressure on real required returns and downward pressure on asset prices, whereas a rising current account surplus (or narrowing deficit) will put downward pressure on real required returns and upward pressure on asset prices. Analysts should consider reallocation of portfolio assets from countries with secularly rising current account deficits to those with secularly rising current account surpluses (or narrowing deficits).

巴德尔应该将资本从A国(预计经常账户赤字将长期上升)重新配置到C国(预计经常账户盈余将长期上升)。不断上升的经常账户赤字往往会给实际所需回报带来上行压力,给资产价格带来下行压力,而不断上升的经常账户盈余(或赤字缩小)则会给实际所需回报带来下行压力,给资产价格带来上行压力。分析师应考虑将投资组合资产从经常账户赤字长期上升的国家重新配置到经常账户盈余长期上升(或赤字不断缩小)的国家。


热钱流入是理解为有利因素吗


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源_品职助教 · 2024年07月16日

嗨,爱思考的PZer你好:


这里主要是要看流入的热钱是做什么的,如果流入的钱参与投资,做FDI,那其实对于一国经济建设发展是有好处的,但是如果流入的钱就是炒房炒地,并且很快就走了,那我们认为这种热钱就是不好的。

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NO.PZ202105270100000505问题如下Baseon Bar’s expectations for current account secultren shown in Exhibit 1, Bar shoulreallocate capital, all else being equal, from:A.Country A to Country C.B.Country B to Country A.C.Country C to Country A. A is correct. Bar shoulreallocate capitfrom Country whiis expecteto have a secularly rising current account ficit, to Country whiis expecteto have a secularly rising current account surplus. A rising current account ficit will tento put upwarpressure on rerequirereturns anwnwarpressure on asset prices, wherea rising current account surplus (or narrowing ficit) will put wnwarpressure on rerequirereturns anupwarpressure on asset prices. Analysts shoulconsir reallocation of portfolio assets from countries with secularly rising current account ficits to those with secularly rising current account surpluses (or narrowing ficits).巴德尔应该将资本从A国(预计经常账户赤字将长期上升)重新配置到C国(预计经常账户盈余将长期上升)。不断上升的经常账户赤字往往会给实际所需回报带来上行压力,给资产价格带来下行压力,而不断上升的经常账户盈余(或赤字缩小)则会给实际所需回报带来下行压力,给资产价格带来上行压力。分析师应考虑将投资组合资产从经常账户赤字长期上升的国家重新配置到经常账户盈余长期上升(或赤字不断缩小)的国家。 国别三的这个热钱涌入因素不用考虑吗

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