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小菜菜 · 2024年07月14日

请问个人IPS和AA中的goal based method区分投资目标的risk tolerance的方法是否是相同的?

NO.PZ2022122801000003

问题如下:

Fox is in the process of hiring an asset allocation analyst and has just completed interviewing two candidates, Ambrose Kelly and Catherine Trainor, for the position. The interviews were directed around the case study of Jane Lennon, a fictitious client, described in Exhibit 1.

Exhibit 1 Case Study of Jane Lennon

Fox told the candidates to assume that Lennon would use sub-portfolios to achieve her aspirational goals and asked them to identify which of the sub-portfolios is in the best position to tolerate the greatest risk exposure.

Which of the sub-portfolios dedicated to Lennon’s aspirational goals is in the best position to tolerate the greatest risk exposure? The one dedicated to:

选项:

A.Everett’s education B.

Marshall’s trust

C.

University endowment

解释:

A is correct. Both of the funds planned for the trust and university endowment represent an imminent need (immediate for the trust and within two years for the endowment). The funding needed for education, however, extends over the longest time horizon, possibly as long as 8 to 10 years. Thus, its sub-portfolio would be in the best position to take on the greatest risk.

B is incorrect. Although the special needs trust for Marshall will provide benefits for his entire life, and therefore has a long-time horizon, from Lennon’s perspective it requires immediate funding and should be very liquid and bear little risk.

C is incorrect. Funding of the university endowment involves a short-term time horizon (within two years) so it should bear little risk.

  1. 如题,想问一下在个人IPS的章节和AA中的goal based method章节中,区分投资目标的risk tolerance的方法是否是相同的?
  2. 如果从probability of success的角度来看,是不是university endowment的probability of success最低呢?如果是这样的话,是不是应该选择university endowment?
1 个答案
已采纳答案

Lucky_品职助教 · 2024年07月15日

嗨,努力学习的PZer你好:


同学你好:


你这个角度的问题真的很好,这道个人IPS的题,说实话我第一眼看完,也想选C,University endowment来着。但是看完答案解析后,我的分析如下,供你参考。


在AA的goal based approach中,我们分析哪一个goal的risk tolerance最高的时候,往往典型的出题方式都是会给出probability of success,对goal也会有need,want, will之分,基本上都是哪个目标的需求成功概率越低,它的风险承受能力就越强,也就是可以投资的越激进一些。但其实能够决定risk tolerance的因素还有很多,例如对流动性的要求,投资周期的长短等等。

在机构IPS中,还有机构类型,机构规模,对alternative的限制等因素。


就这道题来看,它其实和AA中的选择并没有冲突,因为题干中并没有明确表明这三个目标的成功概率,或是对这三个目标的重要程度,所以这道题就不能从probability of success来考虑risk tolerance了。

这道题给出的最明确的信息,就是Investment horizon,投资期越长,risk tolerance就越大,虽然说18的孩子也是马上就要上大学了,也是马上就要给钱了,但是毕竟学医的,大多数都要本硕连读,再加上还有实习等等,时间跨度还是要比后面两个goal要长很多,所以education这个目标的风险承受能力越大。


我们确实有一些知识点,在AA,机构IPS,个人IPS这些科目中都会有出现,并且侧重点也不尽相同。所以建议同学在答题的时候,还是要根据题干给出的,能够利用的信息来作答,因为这些信息才是真正能够反应出题人意图的,能够反应出考察的是哪一个知识点。

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