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Olivia.W🌸 · 2024年07月10日

AUD rate were to decline by 50 bps不是澳币贬值的意思?

NO.PZ2021061002000064

问题如下:

A client has entered into a long six-month AUD/USD FX forward contract to long USD. If the AUD rate were to decline by 50 bps immediately after the contract is agreed, Which of the following statements is correct?

选项:

A.

The lower interest rate differential between AUD and USD will cause the client to realize an MTM loss on the AUD/USD forward contract.

B.

The client will realize an MTM gain on the FX forward contract due to the decline in the AUD versus USD interest rate differential.

C.

The lower interest rate differential between AUD and USD will cause the AUD/USD contract forward rate to be adjusted downward.

解释:

中文解析:

方法一:

本题考察的是外汇远期的估值公式:


外汇远期合约标的是汇率,在本题中就是AUD/USD的汇率。所以远期合约可以锁定将来汇率,即forward rate,并且在整个合约期间是不会发生变化的。所以C选项不对。

根据题意可知两国的利差会降低,根据上式可以看到利差缩小会使得value下降,即有一个MTM value loss,因此A对,B错。

 AUD rate were to decline by 50 bps不是澳币贬值的意思?怎么看都是澳币贬值呀

2 个答案

李坏_品职助教 · 2024年07月11日

嗨,努力学习的PZer你好:


不是这么判断的。


如果不看公式,可以这样判断:AUD利率下降,根据interest rate parity(利率平价)可知,低利率的货币远期升水(就是远期升值),既然AUD远期是升值,那么对应着USD远期贬值,所以“long USD”自然是有Loss的。所以A选项说的“ MTM loss on the AUD/USD forward contract”这个才是正确的。



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虽然现在很辛苦,但努力过的感觉真的很好,加油!

李坏_品职助教 · 2024年07月10日

嗨,从没放弃的小努力你好:


AUD rate were to decline by 50的意思是,澳洲的利率会下降50个基点,并不是澳币贬值的意思。

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努力的时光都是限量版,加油!

Olivia.W🌸 · 2024年07月11日

利率下降,澳币也贬值了吧?

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