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emma爱地球 · 2024年07月09日

我怎么没看懂题目🥹

NO.PZ2022123001000155

问题如下:

Suppose Mylandia announces that it expects significant cash flow growth over the next three years, and now plans to increase its recent CAD2.40 dividend by 10 percent in each of the next three years. Following the 10 percent growth period, Mylandia is expected to grow its annual dividend by a constant 3 percent indefinitely. Mylandia’s required return is 8 percent. Based upon these revised expectations, The expected share price of Mylandia stock is:

选项:

A.

CAD49.98

B.

CAD55.84

C.

CAD59.71

解释:

C is correct. Following the first step, we observe the following expected dividends for Mylandia for the next three years:

In 1 year: D1 = CAD2.64 (=2.40×1.10)

In 2 years: D2 = CAD2.90 (=2.40×1.102)

In 3 years: D3 = CAD3.19 (=2.40×1.103)

The second step involves a lower 3 percent growth rate. At the end of year four, Mylandia’s dividend (D4) is expected to be CAD3.29 (=2.40×1.103 ×1.03). At this time, Mylandia’s expected terminal value at the end of three years is CAD65.80 using Equation 17, as follows:

E( St +n ) = 3.29/(0.08-0.03) = 65.80.

Third, we calculate the sum of the present values of these expected dividends using Equation 16:

PVt =2.64/1.08 + 2.90/1.082 + 3.19/1.083 + 65.80/1.083 = 59.71 .

求解答,解释一下。。。。。

1 个答案

品职助教_七七 · 2024年07月09日

嗨,爱思考的PZer你好:


1)本题要计算股票价格,资产定价为未来现金流折现求和。本题有四笔未来现金流,分别是1,2,3期的Dividend,和折现到第3期的股价。

2)根据题干给出的D0=2.40(now plans to increase its recent CAD2.40)和前三年固定增长10%(10 percent in each of the next three years),得到D1,D2,D3如下:

3)根据后续股利的“grow its annual dividend by a constant 3 percent indefinitely”,得到①D4=D3×(1+3%)=3.29;②根据永续增长模型得到第三期的股价ES3=D4/(r-g)=65.80.

这步就是解析中的:

4)将D1,D2,D3和P3分别折现到0时点,即可得到该股票的expected share price


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提问时请具体说明哪里没有看懂,思路卡在哪一步,答案解析的哪里需要进一步讲解等。


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