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Olivia.W🌸 · 2024年06月26日

CAPM

NO.PZ2015121802000042

问题如下:

A stock with beta of 0.5 is selling for $30 and pay $4 dividend at year end, if the price should be $32 at year end. The stock is undervalued or overvalued? Assuming the risk-free rate is 8%, expected market return is 16%.

选项:

A.

The sotck is undervalued, investor should buy it.

B.

The stock is overvalued, investor should short it.

C.

The sotck is fairly valued, investor should buy it.

解释:

A is correct.

Expected return on CAPM = 8 + 0.5(16 - 8) = 12%

Estimated return on stock = (32 - 30 + 4) / 30 = 20%

The estimated return is higher than expected return on CAPM, indicating that the stock is undervalued, investor should buy it.

不是很理解market expect return和CAPM计算出来的return分别是什么?

market expect return不是市场上大家认为的收益率么?如果大家认为应该值的更高(market expect reutrn更大),那不就是股票被低估吗?

怎么答案跟我想的相反

1 个答案

Kiko_品职助教 · 2024年06月27日

嗨,从没放弃的小努力你好:


expected return是根据CAPM公式计算出来的合理收益率。

estimated return 是根据市场情况预估出来的收益率。所以其实也是一个预期的收益率,所以有时候也叫market expect return。

通常会拿这两个作比较来评价股票被高估还是低估。另外价格跟收益率是成反比的,当estimated return大于CAPM计算出来的合理收益率时,说明现在市场价格更低,所以是被低估了。

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