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西红柿面 · 2024年06月26日

想问一下这个g为什么不是eps的增长率呢

NO.PZ2023032701000014

问题如下:

Rae is Using GGM to value Tasty Foods.

Rae notes that the EPS of the company has been increasing at an average rate of 4.48 percent per year. The dividend payout ratio has remained fairly stable of 50%, and an average ROE of 10.6%.

Rae uses the CAPM to compute the return on equity. He uses the annual yield of 4 percent on the 10-year Treasury bond as the risk-free return. He estimates the expected US equity risk premium, with the S&P 500 Index used as a proxy for the market, to be 6.5 percent per year. The estimated beta of Tasty Foods against the S&P 500 Index is 1.10.

The stock’s current price is $8.42

Last year dividend per share is 0.59$/S.

Rae considers a security trading within a band of ±10 percent of his estimate of intrinsic value to be within a “fair value range.” By that criterion, the stock of Tasty Foods is:

选项:

A.

undervalued

B.

fairly valued

C.

Overvalued

解释:

G=ROE*b=10.6%*50%=5.3%

Using CAPM to estimate required rate of return=0.04 + 1.10(0.065) = 0.1115 or 11.15 percent.

Using the Gordon Growth Model,

Rae’s estimate of the intrinsic value is $10.62. So, the band Rae is looking at is $10.62 ± 0.10($10.62), which runs from $10.62 + $1.06 = $11.68 on the upside to $10.62 -$1.06 = $9.56 on the downside. Because $8.42 is below $9.56, Rae would consider Tasty Foods to be undervalued.

何老师上课的讲义上面也写了:ROE恒定的情况,绿色框里的,写了EPS也是按照g增长



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已采纳答案

王园圆_品职助教 · 2024年06月26日

同学你好,请注意题目的表达:”the EPS of the company has been increasing at an average rate of 4.48 percent per year“ has been是现在完成时,是指EPS直到现在为止一直是按照4.48%的速度增长的,不代表未来也是按照这个速度增长的。而我们对公司估值,需要的是未来的增长率g

另外,我们在用GGM对公司进行估值的时候,g在公式里定义的就是指分红D的增长率而非EPS的增长率,所以最严格的来说,必须是使用分红增长率g带入计算才可以得到公司价值

当然确实有些题目根本没有给除了EPS的增长率以外的其他增长率,那此时就需要灵活使用,运用sustainable growth rate的结论(EPS和分红的增长率是一样的),默认就使用EPS的增长率来带入GGM计算即可

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