NO.PZ2015122802000168
问题如下:
Hideki Corporation has just paid a dividend of ¥450 per share. Annual dividends are expected to grow at the rate of 4 percent per year over the next four years. At the end of four years, shares of Hideki Corporation are expected to sell for ¥9000. If the required rate of return is 12 percent, the intrinsic value of a share of Hideki Corporation is closest to:
选项:
A.¥5,850.
B.¥7,220.
C.¥7,670.
解释:
B is correct.
=¥7220
考点:GGM
股票估值是未来所有现金流的折现求和,这道题说的是当前红利D0是500,在未来四年每年都以4%增长(未来四年每年都发红利),四年后以9000卖出,所以这笔投资一获得5笔现金流,那么就要将这5笔现金流进行折现求和。有几个问题需要注意:
1、所谓估值是指我们对将该资产未来所有产生的预期现金流进行折现,所以我们估计的当前股票的价值只包含了未来所有的股息。而当前已经发放的股息(D0)不在计算之列。
2、“just paid a dividend of 450 per share”是D0,因此我们在输入计算器时CF0=0, 现金流是从D1开始(D1=D0*1.04)。
2、计算器的录入过程:CF0=0,C01=468,F01=1,C02=486.72,F02=1,C03=506.19,F03=1.,C04=526.44+9000,F04=1,I=12.计算NPV=7220
为什么D0不能=450呢