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我爱荷包蛋 · 2024年06月15日

答案

NO.PZ2021120102000011

问题如下:

A junior analyst considers a 10-year high-yield bond issued by EKN Corporation (EKN) position in a high-yield portfolio. The bond has a price of 91.82, a modified duration of 8.47, and a spread duration of 8.47.

The analyst speculates on the effects of an interest rate increase of 20 bps and, because of a change in its credit risk, an increase in the EKN bond’s credit spread of 20 bps.

The analyst comments that because the modified duration and the credit spread duration of the EKN bond are equal, the bond’s price will not change (all else being equal) in response to the interest rate and credit spread changes.

Is the analyst’s prediction correct that the EKN bond price will not change in response to the interest rate and credit spread changes, all else being equal?

选项:

A.

Yes.

B.

No, the bond price should decrease.

C.

No, the bond price should increase.

解释:

B is correct. An increase in interest rates results in a decrease in the bond price. An increase in the credit spread also results in a decrease in the bond price.

For the EKN bond, its modified duration shows the effect of the 20 bp increase in interest rates. The approximate percentage price change resulting from the increase in interest rates is –8.47 × 0.0020 = –1.694%.

The spread duration shows the effect of the 20 bp increase in the credit spread. The approximate percentage price change resulting from the increase in the credit spread is –8.47 × 0.0020 = –1.694%. The combined effect is a total change of –3.388%, or a price decrease of roughly 3.4%

题目里面说The analyst speculates on the effects of an interest rate increase of 20 bps and, because of a change in its credit risk, an increase in the EKN bond’s credit spread of 20 bps。


根据△Yc=△Yb+spread这个公式,我理解这里是说△Yc=20bps,是由于spread增加了20bps引起的,这里的△Yb应该是=0的。


同时,Modified Duration衡量的是YTM(不是benchmark rate)变动带来的价格影响,所以这道问题实际是考察YTM变动和spread 变动带来的价格差异,而不是benchmark rate变动和spread 变动带来的价格差异。


债券价格整体变动应该就是-1.69%,而不是答案解释中的-3.338%


老师,我的理解对吗?

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已采纳答案

发亮_品职助教 · 2024年06月15日

The analyst speculates on the effects of an interest rate increase of 20 bps and, because of a change in its credit risk, an increase in the EKN bond’s credit spread of 20 bps.

上面这句的话理解有点问题。

注意上面有个and链接,and把because给隔开了,这个because是解释后半句credit spread上升20bps的,并不是解释前面interest rate上升20bps的。所以and链接了2个20bps的上升。


上面这句的意思是:interest rate increase 20 bps,即,基准利率上升20个bp。注意只要谈到Interest rate/benchmark rate/government yield就是指基准利率

如果是债券自身的收益率的话,只能是自己的收益率yield,并不能算作(or称为)利率interest rate.


and后面又说,because of a change in its credit risk,由于债券的信用风险发生改变

an increase in the EKN bond’s credit spread of 20 bps,使得债券的Credit spread上升20 bps。


已知:公司债YTM = Benchmark rate + credit spread

基准利率上升20bps,credit spread上升20bps,YTM总计上升40bps。

而已知债券的modified duration=8.47。所以债券的价格改变:- 40 bps×8.47


这道题还有个理解思路:

公司债YTM = Benchmark rate + credit spread


我们分开看interest rate改变以及credit spread改变对债券价格的影响


看Interest rate上升20bps这个影响,只看Interest rate不看spread改变,最终的效果是使得YTM上升20bps。Modified duration是8.47,仅仅是interest rate改变带来的债券价格变动是:-20 bps × 8.47


看credit spread的话,只看spread上升20bps,Spread duration=8.47,通过Spread duration对债券的影响是,债券价格改变:-20bps × 8.47


以上是我们分开讨论了利率改变及Credit spread改变对债券价格的影响。由于债券价格同时受到这两方面影响,所以加总可以得到总的影响:


-20bps × 8.47 + (-20 bps) × 8.47 = -40 bps × 8.47

我爱荷包蛋 · 2024年06月17日

谢谢老师,确实是我审题不准确

发亮_品职助教 · 2024年06月18日

不用客气!

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