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梦梦 · 2024年06月03日

公式是如何推导的?

NO.PZ2020012005000020

问题如下:

If a stock index, interest rate, and dividend yield remain constant, derive a formula for the futures price at time t in terms of the futures price at time zero. Suppose that the risk-free rate is 5% per year and the dividend yield on an index is 3% per year. If the stock index stays constant, at what rate does the futures price grow? (All rates are expressed with annual compounding.)

解释:

The relationship between the futures price, Ft, at time t and the spot price is:

Ft=S(1+R1+Q)Tt=S(1+R1+Q)T(1+Q1+R)t=F0(1+Q1+R)tF_t=S(\frac{1+R}{1+Q})^{T-t}=S(\frac{1+R}{1+Q})^T(\frac{1+Q}{1+R})^t=F_0(\frac{1+Q}{1+R})^t

where S, R, and Q are the index level, risk-free rate, and dividend yield, respectively and T is the initial time to maturity. This shows that the futures price grows at:

(1 + Q)/( 1 + R)- 1

When R = 5% and Q = 3%, the growth rate of the futures price per year is

(1 + Q)/( 1 + R)- 1=1.03/1.05-1=-0.019

or -1.9%.


F=S(1+Q)/(1+R)用的是上面推出的哪个公式?每个公式都带着T-t次方或者t次方,但是这里没有的原因?

3 个答案

pzqa27 · 2024年06月06日

嗨,爱思考的PZer你好:


是这个吗?

这个式子写的不算特别对,它这里是算的1年的增长率。

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就算太阳没有迎着我们而来,我们正在朝着它而去,加油!

pzqa27 · 2024年06月05日

嗨,从没放弃的小努力你好:


没明白同学这句话 “t时刻为什么St(1+Q)^-1等于FT(1+rf)^-1呢?”

解析中好像没有看到这种表达式

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努力的时光都是限量版,加油!

梦梦 · 2024年06月06日

😂就是这道题灰色部分的答案,在“解释:”下面的一连串公式,其中第二个我没懂

pzqa27 · 2024年06月04日

嗨,努力学习的PZer你好:


这个原因其实写了,请阅读时候结合上下文。

当时那位同学问的是(1+q)/(1+r)-1怎么来的,这个式子是解析给的,解析写的是growth rate of the future price per year,即是在说每一年的增长率,因此t默认是1了,我在最开始的时候也写了,我们就只看1年的情况,而一个数的1次方就是它本身,所以可以直接省略了。

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虽然现在很辛苦,但努力过的感觉真的很好,加油!

梦梦 · 2024年06月04日

这里明白了,老师,但我又仔细想了一下这道题,1、t时刻为什么St(1+Q)^-1等于FT(1+rf)^-1呢?t又不是0时刻,value不是0啊?

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