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Brian邵彬 · 2024年05月31日

疑问

NO.PZ2019040801000057

问题如下:

There is a problem with the first-order moving average [MA(1)] process.  Which of the following statements represents the problem and how to resolve it? The problem is the moving average representation of the MA(1) process:

选项:

A.

incorporate only observable shocks, so the solution is to use a moving average representation.

B.

incorporate unobservable shocks, so the solution is to use a moving average representation.

C.

incorporate unobservable shocks, so the solution is to use an autoregressive representation.

D.

incorporate only observable shocks, so the solution is to use an autoregressive representation.

解释:

C is correct.

考点:一阶移动平均

解析:一阶移动平均的问题在于它无法根据无法观察的白噪声冲击估计一个变量,解决方法是转换成自回归模型,使用可观察的项。

答案写的是“incorporate unobservable shocks”这不是MA模型本身的建模基础么?为什么说是MA模型的一个问题。。。还是说选项说的不够清楚,应该加上“在yt与yt-1存在相关性的情况下,MA没有考虑yt与yt-1的联系”?

1 个答案
已采纳答案

品职答疑小助手雍 · 2024年05月31日

同学你好,是建模基础没错,也是它带来的问题。加上那句MA没有考虑yt与yt-1的联系也没有问题哈。

选项只是基于选择题的提问方式简单写了一下问题和解决方式。

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